SM
| Current League Standings | P | GD | PTS | |
| 3 | New York Red Bulls | 27 | 6 | 41 |
| 4 | Columbus Crew | 24 | 5 | 34 |
| 5 | New England Revolution | 26 | -2 | 34 |
| Current League Standings | P | GD | PTS | |
| 9 | Toronto | 27 | -7 | 30 |
| 10 | Atlanta United | 25 | -1 | 29 |
| 11 | DC United | 26 | -28 | 22 |
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Columbus Crew win with a probability of 50.2%. A win for Atlanta United had a probability of 25.54% and a draw had a probability of 24.3%.
The most likely scoreline for a Columbus Crew win was 1-0 with a probability of 10.25%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.59%) and 2-0 (8.56%). The likeliest Atlanta United win was 0-1 (6.88%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.49%). The actual scoreline of 2-2 was predicted with a 5.4% likelihood.
| Result | ||
| Columbus Crew | Draw | Atlanta United |
50.2% ( -0.1) | 24.26% ( 0.02) | 25.54% ( 0.08) |
| Both teams to score 54.69% ( 0.03) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 52.81% | 47.19% ( 0.01) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 30.58% | 69.42% ( 0) |
| Columbus Crew Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 81.17% ( -0.04) | 18.83% ( 0.04) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 49.73% ( -0.07) | 50.27% ( 0.07) |
| Atlanta United Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 67.37% ( 0.07) | 32.63% ( -0.06) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 30.83% ( 0.07) | 69.17% ( -0.07) |
| Score Analysis |
| Columbus Crew | Draw | Atlanta United |
| 1-0 @ 10.25% ( -0.02) 2-1 @ 9.59% ( -0.01)2-0 @ 8.56% ( -0.02)3-1 @ 5.34% ( -0.01)3-0 @ 4.77% ( -0.02)3-2 @ 2.99% 4-1 @ 2.23% ( -0.01)4-0 @ 1.99% ( -0.01)4-2 @ 1.25% ( -0)Other @ 3.23% Total : 50.19% | 1-1 @ 11.49% ( 0.01) 0-0 @ 6.14% ( 0)2-2 @ 5.37% ( 0.01)3-3 @ 1.12% ( 0)Other @ 0.14% Total : 24.26% | 0-1 @ 6.88% ( 0.01) 1-2 @ 6.43% ( 0.02)0-2 @ 3.85% ( 0.02)1-3 @ 2.4% ( 0.01)2-3 @ 2.01% ( 0)0-3 @ 1.44% ( 0.01)Other @ 2.52% Total : 25.54% |
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