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Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a New England Revolution win with a probability of 49.2%. A win for Columbus Crew had a probability of 28.53% and a draw had a probability of 22.3%.
The most likely scoreline for a New England Revolution win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.3%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (6.92%) and 2-0 (6.59%). The likeliest Columbus Crew win was 1-2 (6.88%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (9.76%). The actual scoreline of 1-2 was predicted with a 6.9% likelihood.
| Result | ||
| New England Revolution | Draw | Columbus Crew |
49.2% ( -0.01) | 22.27% ( 0) | 28.53% ( 0.01) |
| Both teams to score 64.35% ( 0.01) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 64.38% ( 0.01) | 35.63% ( -0) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 42.32% ( 0.01) | 57.69% ( -0) |
| New England Revolution Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 85.13% ( 0) | 14.87% ( 0) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 56.8% | 43.21% ( 0) |
| Columbus Crew Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 75.58% ( 0.01) | 24.42% ( -0) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 41.16% ( 0.01) | 58.85% ( -0.01) |
| Score Analysis |
| New England Revolution | Draw | Columbus Crew |
| 2-1 @ 9.3% 1-0 @ 6.92% ( -0)2-0 @ 6.59% ( -0)3-1 @ 5.91% ( -0)3-0 @ 4.19% ( -0)3-2 @ 4.16% 4-1 @ 2.81% ( -0)4-0 @ 2% ( -0)4-2 @ 1.98% 5-1 @ 1.07% 4-3 @ 0.93% Other @ 3.34% Total : 49.2% | 1-1 @ 9.76% 2-2 @ 6.55% ( 0)0-0 @ 3.63% 3-3 @ 1.96% ( 0)Other @ 0.37% Total : 22.27% | 1-2 @ 6.88% ( 0) 0-1 @ 5.12% 0-2 @ 3.61% 1-3 @ 3.23% ( 0)2-3 @ 3.08% ( 0)0-3 @ 1.7% ( 0)1-4 @ 1.14% 2-4 @ 1.09% ( 0)Other @ 2.7% Total : 28.53% |
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