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Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Columbus Crew win with a probability of 59.12%. A draw had a probability of 20.5% and a win for Atlanta United had a probability of 20.41%.
The most likely scoreline for a Columbus Crew win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.77%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (8.27%) and 1-0 (7.76%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (9.16%), while for an Atlanta United win it was 1-2 (5.41%). The actual scoreline of 2-0 was predicted with an 8.3% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted a 2-0 win for Columbus Crew in this match and our data analysis correctly predicted the win for Columbus Crew.
| Result | ||
| Columbus Crew | Draw | Atlanta United |
59.12% ( 0.89) | 20.47% ( 0.18) | 20.41% ( -1.07) |
| Both teams to score 61.1% ( -2.46) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 64.33% ( -2.43) | 35.66% ( 2.43) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 42.27% ( -2.74) | 57.73% ( 2.74) |
| Columbus Crew Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 88.15% ( -0.52) | 11.85% ( 0.52) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 62.87% ( -1.11) | 37.13% ( 1.11) |
| Atlanta United Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 69.31% ( -2.37) | 30.69% ( 2.37) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 33.06% ( -2.89) | 66.94% ( 2.89) |
| Score Analysis |
| Columbus Crew | Draw | Atlanta United |
| 2-1 @ 9.77% ( 0.17) 2-0 @ 8.27% ( 0.66)1-0 @ 7.76% ( 0.77)3-1 @ 6.95% ( -0.02)3-0 @ 5.88% ( 0.36)3-2 @ 4.1% ( -0.29)4-1 @ 3.7% ( -0.09)4-0 @ 3.14% ( 0.13)4-2 @ 2.19% ( -0.21)5-1 @ 1.58% ( -0.07)5-0 @ 1.34% ( 0.03)5-2 @ 0.93% ( -0.11)Other @ 3.52% Total : 59.12% | 1-1 @ 9.16% ( 0.35) 2-2 @ 5.77% ( -0.28)0-0 @ 3.64% ( 0.43)3-3 @ 1.62% ( -0.23)Other @ 0.28% Total : 20.47% | 1-2 @ 5.41% ( -0.15) 0-1 @ 4.3% ( 0.25)0-2 @ 2.54% ( -0.02)2-3 @ 2.27% ( -0.27)1-3 @ 2.13% ( -0.21)0-3 @ 1% ( -0.08)Other @ 2.76% Total : 20.41% |
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