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Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Atlanta United win with a probability of 53.24%. A win for Columbus Crew had a probability of 25.26% and a draw had a probability of 21.5%.
The most likely scoreline for an Atlanta United win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.49%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (7.08%) and 1-0 (7.01%). The likeliest Columbus Crew win was 1-2 (6.3%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (9.39%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with a 9.4% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted a 1-1 draw for this match.
| Result | ||
| Atlanta United | Draw | Columbus Crew |
53.24% ( -0.55) | 21.5% ( 0.06) | 25.26% ( 0.5) |
| Both teams to score 64.06% ( 0.35) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 65.3% ( 0.22) | 34.7% ( -0.22) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 43.34% ( 0.25) | 56.66% ( -0.25) |
| Atlanta United Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 86.76% ( -0.09) | 13.24% ( 0.09) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 59.98% ( -0.18) | 40.02% ( 0.19) |
| Columbus Crew Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 73.84% ( 0.49) | 26.16% ( -0.48) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 38.76% ( 0.65) | 61.24% ( -0.64) |
| Score Analysis |
| Atlanta United | Draw | Columbus Crew |
| 2-1 @ 9.49% ( -0.04) 2-0 @ 7.08% ( -0.13)1-0 @ 7.01% ( -0.1)3-1 @ 6.4% ( -0.05)3-0 @ 4.77% ( -0.1)3-2 @ 4.29% ( 0.02)4-1 @ 3.23% ( -0.04)4-0 @ 2.41% ( -0.06)4-2 @ 2.17% ( 0.01)5-1 @ 1.31% ( -0.02)5-0 @ 0.98% ( -0.03)4-3 @ 0.97% ( 0.02)Other @ 3.13% Total : 53.24% | 1-1 @ 9.39% ( -0.01) 2-2 @ 6.37% ( 0.06)0-0 @ 3.47% ( -0.04)3-3 @ 1.92% ( 0.04)Other @ 0.36% Total : 21.5% | 1-2 @ 6.3% ( 0.08) 0-1 @ 4.65% ( 0.01)0-2 @ 3.11% ( 0.05)2-3 @ 2.85% ( 0.07)1-3 @ 2.81% ( 0.07)0-3 @ 1.39% ( 0.04)2-4 @ 0.95% ( 0.03)1-4 @ 0.94% ( 0.04)Other @ 2.26% Total : 25.26% |
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