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Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Columbus Crew win with a probability of 46.41%. A win for New York Red Bulls had a probability of 27.99% and a draw had a probability of 25.6%.
The most likely scoreline for a Columbus Crew win was 1-0 with a probability of 10.9%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.22%) and 2-0 (8.26%). The likeliest New York Red Bulls win was 0-1 (8.04%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.17%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with a 9.2% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Columbus Crew would win this match.
| Result | ||
| Columbus Crew | Draw | New York Red Bulls |
46.41% ( -0) | 25.6% ( 0) | 27.99% ( -0) |
| Both teams to score 52.48% ( -0.01) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 48.94% ( -0.02) | 51.05% ( 0.02) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 27.09% ( -0.01) | 72.91% ( 0.01) |
| Columbus Crew Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 78.01% ( -0.01) | 21.99% ( 0.01) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 44.71% ( -0.01) | 55.29% ( 0.01) |
| New York Red Bulls Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 67.27% ( -0.01) | 32.73% ( 0.01) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 30.71% ( -0.01) | 69.28% ( 0.01) |
| Score Analysis |
| Columbus Crew | Draw | New York Red Bulls |
| 1-0 @ 10.9% ( 0.01) 2-1 @ 9.22% ( -0)2-0 @ 8.26% ( 0)3-1 @ 4.66% ( -0)3-0 @ 4.17% 3-2 @ 2.6% ( -0)4-1 @ 1.76% ( -0)4-0 @ 1.58% ( -0)4-2 @ 0.99% Other @ 2.29% Total : 46.41% | 1-1 @ 12.17% 0-0 @ 7.2% ( 0)2-2 @ 5.15% ( -0)3-3 @ 0.97% ( -0)Other @ 0.11% Total : 25.59% | 0-1 @ 8.04% ( 0) 1-2 @ 6.8% ( -0)0-2 @ 4.49% ( 0)1-3 @ 2.53% ( -0)2-3 @ 1.92% ( -0)0-3 @ 1.67% Other @ 2.55% Total : 27.99% |
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