Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a DC United win with a probability of 55.89%. A draw had a probability of 23.5% and a win for Columbus Crew had a probability of 20.64%.
The most likely scoreline for a DC United win was 1-0 with a probability of 11.54%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (10.12%) and 2-1 (9.79%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (11.16%), while for a Columbus Crew win it was 0-1 (6.36%). The actual scoreline of 1-3 was predicted with a 1.7% likelihood.