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Major League Soccer
Jul 18, 2022 at 12.30am UK
Columbus Crew Stadium
FC
Columbus Crew
2 - 0
Cincinnati
Camilo Hernandez (16'), Zelarayan (86' pen.)
Moreira (78')
FT(HT: 1-0)

Hagglund (47'), Nwobodo (84')

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Cincinnati 2-2 Vancouver
Thursday, July 14 at 1am in Major League Soccer

We said: Columbus Crew 2-2 FC Cincinnati

Both of these sides have found themselves amongst the goals at both ends of the pitch of late, and for that reason, we are predicting for this to be an open and entertaining affair on Sunday. Although it appears that something must give between two sides on impressive unbeaten runs, because of this, we are going for a draw at the Mapfre Stadium as a result of the two in-form teams cancelling each other out. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Columbus Crew win with a probability of 56.95%. A draw had a probability of 22.6% and a win for FC Cincinnati had a probability of 20.49%.

The most likely scoreline for a Columbus Crew win was 1-0 with a probability of 10.45%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.9%) and 2-0 (9.71%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (10.66%), while for a FC Cincinnati win it was 0-1 (5.75%). The actual scoreline of 2-0 was predicted with a 9.7% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Columbus Crew would win this match.

Result
Columbus CrewDrawFC Cincinnati
56.95% (-0.016000000000005 -0.02) 22.55% (0.0089999999999968 0.01) 20.49% (0.0090000000000003 0.01)
Both teams to score 53.95% (-0.0090000000000003 -0.01)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
54.85% (-0.024000000000001 -0.02)45.15% (0.026000000000003 0.03)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
32.51% (-0.019999999999996 -0.02)67.49% (0.024000000000001 0.02)
Columbus Crew Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
84.38% (-0.010999999999996 -0.01)15.62% (0.013999999999999 0.01)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
55.37% (-0.024000000000001 -0.02)44.63% (0.027000000000001 0.03)
FC Cincinnati Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
63.94% (-0.00099999999999767 -0)36.06% (0.0039999999999978 0)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
27.16% (-0.0030000000000001 -0)72.84% (0.0060000000000002 0.01)
Score Analysis
    Columbus Crew 56.94%
    FC Cincinnati 20.5%
    Draw 22.54%
Columbus CrewDrawFC Cincinnati
1-0 @ 10.45%
2-1 @ 9.9%
2-0 @ 9.71% (0.00099999999999945 0)
3-1 @ 6.13% (-0.0040000000000004 -0)
3-0 @ 6.01% (-0.0030000000000001 -0)
3-2 @ 3.13% (-0.0019999999999998 -0)
4-1 @ 2.84% (-0.0030000000000001 -0)
4-0 @ 2.79% (-0.0030000000000001 -0)
4-2 @ 1.45% (-0.002 -0)
5-1 @ 1.06% (-0.00099999999999989 -0)
5-0 @ 1.04% (-0.002 -0)
Other @ 2.45%
Total : 56.94%
1-1 @ 10.66%
0-0 @ 5.63% (0.0060000000000002 0.01)
2-2 @ 5.05% (-0.0010000000000003 -0)
3-3 @ 1.06% (-0.00099999999999989 -0)
Other @ 0.14%
Total : 22.54%
0-1 @ 5.75% (0.0050000000000008 0.01)
1-2 @ 5.44% (0.0010000000000003 0)
0-2 @ 2.93% (0.0030000000000001 0)
1-3 @ 1.85% (0.0010000000000001 0)
2-3 @ 1.72%
0-3 @ 1%
Other @ 1.82%
Total : 20.5%

Read more!
Read more!
Form Guide
Last Game: DC United 2-2 Columbus Crew
Thursday, July 14 at 1am in Major League Soccer
Last Game: Chicago Fire 2-3 Columbus Crew
Sunday, July 10 at 1am in Major League Soccer
Last Game: Columbus Crew 0-0 Philadelphia
Monday, July 4 at 12.30am in Major League Soccer
Last Game: Toronto 1-2 Columbus Crew
Thursday, June 30 at 12.30am in Major League Soccer
Last Game: Salt Lake 0-0 Columbus Crew
Sunday, June 26 at 3am in Major League Soccer
Last Game: Columbus Crew 1-1 Charlotte FC
Sunday, June 19 at 12.30am in Major League Soccer
Last Game: Cincinnati 2-2 Vancouver
Thursday, July 14 at 1am in Major League Soccer
Last Game: Cincinnati 1-1 NY Red Bulls
Sunday, July 10 at 12.30am in Major League Soccer
Last Game: New England 2-2 Cincinnati
Monday, July 4 at 12.30am in Major League Soccer
Last Game: Cincinnati 4-4 NY City
Thursday, June 30 at 12.30am in Major League Soccer
Last Game: Cincinnati 1-0 Orlando City
Saturday, June 25 at 12.30am in Major League Soccer
Last Game: Philadelphia 1-1 Cincinnati
Sunday, June 19 at 12.30am in Major League Soccer

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