BREAKING NEWS:

Major League Soccer

Jul 14, 2022 at 1am UK

Nippert Stadium

Cincinnati
2 - 2
Vancouver

Barreal (3'), Vazquez (23')
Nwobodo (52'), Blackett (58')

FT(HT: 2-1)

Gauld (5'), Dajome (82')
Teibert (38'), Gauld (90+3')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Thursday's Major League Soccer clash between FC Cincinnati and Vancouver Whitecaps, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

We said: FC Cincinnati 2-1 Vancouver Whitecaps

A closely-fought contest between two evenly-matched teams is set to take place on Thursday, but Cincinnati will be regarded as the slight favourites considering Vancouver's poor away record this term. The hosts have performed well against New York City FC, New England Revolution and New York Red Bulls in recent weeks despite only coming away with a point on each occasion, but we feel that they could claim a slender win this time around. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a FC Cincinnati win with a probability of 53.7%. A draw had a probability of 23.7% and a win for Vancouver Whitecaps had a probability of 22.59%.

The most likely scoreline for a FC Cincinnati win was 1-0 with a probability of 10.83%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.76%) and 2-0 (9.4%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (11.25%), while for a Vancouver Whitecaps win it was 0-1 (6.49%). The actual scoreline of 2-2 was predicted with a 5.1% likelihood.

Result
FC Cincinnati	Draw	Vancouver Whitecaps
53.7% ( -1.06)	23.7% ( 0.25)	22.59% ( 0.81)

Both teams to score 53.19% (

0.26)

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

52.41% (

-0.17)

47.59% (

0.17)

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

30.21% (

-0.16)

69.79% (

0.16)

FC Cincinnati Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

82.35% (

-0.45)

17.64% (

0.45)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

51.75% (

-0.79)

48.25% (

0.79)

Vancouver Whitecaps Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

64.59% (

0.66)

35.41% (

-0.67)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

27.83% (

0.69)

72.17% (

-0.69)

Score Analysis

FC Cincinnati 53.7%

Vancouver Whitecaps 22.59%

Draw 23.7%

FC Cincinnati	Draw	Vancouver Whitecaps
1-0 @ 10.83% ( -0.08) 2-1 @ 9.76% ( -0.04) 2-0 @ 9.4% ( -0.21) 3-1 @ 5.64% ( -0.11) 3-0 @ 5.44% ( -0.21) 3-2 @ 2.93% ( -0) 4-1 @ 2.45% ( -0.08) 4-0 @ 2.36% ( -0.13) 4-2 @ 1.27% ( -0.02) Other @ 3.62% Total : 53.7%	1-1 @ 11.25% ( 0.12) 0-0 @ 6.25% ( 0.04) 2-2 @ 5.07% ( 0.07) 3-3 @ 1.01% ( 0.02) Other @ 0.12% Total : 23.7%	0-1 @ 6.49% ( 0.16) 1-2 @ 5.84% ( 0.17) 0-2 @ 3.37% ( 0.14) 1-3 @ 2.02% ( 0.09) 2-3 @ 1.75% ( 0.06) 0-3 @ 1.17% ( 0.07) Other @ 1.96% Total : 22.59%