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FC
Major League Soccer
Jul 10, 2022 at 12.30am UK
Nippert Stadium
NY
Cincinnati
1 - 1
NY Red Bulls
Vazquez (20')
Blackett (2'), Cruz (30'), Kubo (90+1')
Cruz (58'), Acosta (90+3')
FT(HT: 1-1)
Morgan (29' pen.)
Tolkin (30'), Edwards (45'), Long (90+3')

Form, Standings, Stats

We said: FC Cincinnati 0-1 New York Red Bulls

Only one of the seven MLS encounters between Cincinnati and New York Red Bulls has seen more than two goals scored, so a closely-fought contest could be on the cards in Ohio. Both sides will be confident of claiming maximum points from Sunday's fixture, but we feel that the visitors will do just enough to come away with a slender victory. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a New York Red Bulls win with a probability of 42.2%. A win for FC Cincinnati had a probability of 31.47% and a draw had a probability of 26.3%.

The most likely scoreline for a New York Red Bulls win was 0-1 with a probability of 10.66%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (8.78%) and 0-2 (7.48%). The likeliest FC Cincinnati win was 1-0 (8.93%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.52%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with a 12.5% likelihood.

Result
FC CincinnatiDrawNew York Red Bulls
31.47% (-0.12 -0.12) 26.32% (0.656 0.66) 42.2% (-0.54 -0.54)
Both teams to score 52.09% (-2.161 -2.16)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
47.57% (-2.771 -2.77)52.43% (2.767 2.77)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
25.89% (-2.431 -2.43)74.11% (2.428 2.43)
FC Cincinnati Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
69.08% (-1.479 -1.48)30.92% (1.475 1.48)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
32.79% (-1.769 -1.77)67.21% (1.766 1.77)
New York Red Bulls Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
75.4% (-1.487 -1.49)24.6% (1.483 1.48)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
40.9% (-2.13 -2.13)59.1% (2.127 2.13)
Score Analysis
    FC Cincinnati 31.47%
    New York Red Bulls 42.2%
    Draw 26.32%
FC CincinnatiDrawNew York Red Bulls
1-0 @ 8.93% (0.606 0.61)
2-1 @ 7.35% (-0.103 -0.1)
2-0 @ 5.24% (0.152 0.15)
3-1 @ 2.88% (-0.161 -0.16)
3-0 @ 2.05% (-0.024 -0.02)
3-2 @ 2.02% (-0.208 -0.21)
Other @ 3.02%
Total : 31.47%
1-1 @ 12.52% (0.34 0.34)
0-0 @ 7.6% (0.8 0.8)
2-2 @ 5.15% (-0.304 -0.3)
3-3 @ 0.94% (-0.143 -0.14)
Other @ 0.1%
Total : 26.32%
0-1 @ 10.66% (0.693 0.69)
1-2 @ 8.78% (-0.146 -0.15)
0-2 @ 7.48% (0.18 0.18)
1-3 @ 4.11% (-0.254 -0.25)
0-3 @ 3.5% (-0.067 -0.07)
2-3 @ 2.41% (-0.255 -0.26)
1-4 @ 1.44% (-0.157 -0.16)
0-4 @ 1.23% (-0.079 -0.08)
Other @ 2.6%
Total : 42.2%

Read more!
Read more!
Form Guide
Last Game: New England 2-2 Cincinnati
Monday, July 4 at 12.30am in Major League Soccer
Last Game: Cincinnati 4-4 NY City
Thursday, June 30 at 12.30am in Major League Soccer
Last Game: Cincinnati 1-0 Orlando City
Saturday, June 25 at 12.30am in Major League Soccer
Last Game: Philadelphia 1-1 Cincinnati
Sunday, June 19 at 12.30am in Major League Soccer
Last Game: Montreal 4-3 Cincinnati
Sunday, May 29 at 12.30am in Major League Soccer
Last Game: Cincinnati 2-3 New England
Sunday, May 22 at 12.20am in Major League Soccer
Last Game: Kansas 0-1 NY Red Bulls
Monday, July 4 at 1am in Major League Soccer
Last Game: NY Red Bulls 2-1 Atlanta
Friday, July 1 at 1am in Major League Soccer
Last Game: Los Angeles 2-0 NY Red Bulls
Sunday, June 26 at 8pm in Major League Soccer
Last Game: NY Red Bulls 2-0 Toronto
Sunday, June 19 at 12am in Major League Soccer
Last Game: Charlotte FC 2-0 NY Red Bulls
Saturday, June 11 at 8pm in Major League Soccer
Last Game: NY Red Bulls 4-1 DC United
Sunday, May 29 at 12am in Major League Soccer

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