SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Toronto win with a probability of 38.08%. A win for Nashville SC had a probability of 34.6% and a draw had a probability of 27.3%.
The most likely scoreline for a Toronto win was 1-0 with a probability of 10.89%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.15%) and 2-0 (6.87%). The likeliest Nashville SC win was 0-1 (10.27%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.94%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with a 12.9% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted a 1-1 draw for this match.
| Result | ||
| Toronto | Draw | Nashville SC |
38.08% ( -0.02) | 27.32% ( 0.06) | 34.6% ( -0.05) |
| Both teams to score 49.79% ( -0.2) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 44.27% ( -0.25) | 55.73% ( 0.26) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 23.13% ( -0.21) | 76.87% ( 0.21) |
| Toronto Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 71.63% ( -0.13) | 28.37% ( 0.13) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 35.89% ( -0.17) | 64.11% ( 0.17) |
| Nashville SC Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 69.51% ( -0.15) | 30.49% ( 0.16) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 33.29% ( -0.18) | 66.71% ( 0.19) |
| Score Analysis |
| Toronto | Draw | Nashville SC |
| 1-0 @ 10.89% ( 0.06) 2-1 @ 8.15% ( -0.02)2-0 @ 6.87% ( 0.02)3-1 @ 3.43% ( -0.02)3-0 @ 2.88% ( -0)3-2 @ 2.03% ( -0.02)4-1 @ 1.08% ( -0.01)4-0 @ 0.91% ( -0.01)Other @ 1.83% Total : 38.07% | 1-1 @ 12.94% ( 0.02) 0-0 @ 8.65% ( 0.08)2-2 @ 4.84% ( -0.03)Other @ 0.89% Total : 27.32% | 0-1 @ 10.27% ( 0.06) 1-2 @ 7.69% ( -0.02)0-2 @ 6.1% ( 0.01)1-3 @ 3.04% ( -0.02)0-3 @ 2.42% ( -0.01)2-3 @ 1.92% ( -0.02)1-4 @ 0.9% ( -0.01)Other @ 2.26% Total : 34.6% |
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