Chicago Fire may have exited the US Open cup with a whimper, but with Klopas sure to ring the changes, a 10th unbeaten home game in a row in MLS could be on the cards, especially given the Crew's miserable record on the road.
The visitors are still a force to be reckoned with in the final third, albeit while struggling for clean sheets at the other end of the field, and we can envisage a back-and-forth contest ending all square.
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Chicago Fire win with a probability of 48.16%. A win for Columbus Crew had a probability of 27.64% and a draw had a probability of 24.2%.
The most likely scoreline for a Chicago Fire win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.47%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (9.45%) and 2-0 (7.87%). The likeliest Columbus Crew win was 1-2 (6.85%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.37%). The actual scoreline of 1-2 was predicted with a 6.8% likelihood.
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