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Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Chicago Fire win with a probability of 48.16%. A win for Columbus Crew had a probability of 27.64% and a draw had a probability of 24.2%.
The most likely scoreline for a Chicago Fire win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.47%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (9.45%) and 2-0 (7.87%). The likeliest Columbus Crew win was 1-2 (6.85%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.37%). The actual scoreline of 1-2 was predicted with a 6.8% likelihood.
| Result | ||
| Chicago Fire | Draw | Columbus Crew |
48.16% ( 0.14) | 24.2% ( -0.12) | 27.64% ( -0.02) |
| Both teams to score 56.75% ( 0.39) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 54.68% ( 0.53) | 45.32% ( -0.53) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 32.34% ( 0.5) | 67.66% ( -0.5) |
| Chicago Fire Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 81.08% ( 0.26) | 18.92% ( -0.27) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 49.58% ( 0.44) | 50.42% ( -0.44) |
| Columbus Crew Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 70% ( 0.26) | 30% ( -0.26) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 33.88% ( 0.31) | 66.12% ( -0.31) |
| Score Analysis |
| Chicago Fire | Draw | Columbus Crew |
| 2-1 @ 9.47% ( 0.01) 1-0 @ 9.45% ( -0.14)2-0 @ 7.87% ( -0.04)3-1 @ 5.26% ( 0.05)3-0 @ 4.37% ( 0.01)3-2 @ 3.17% ( 0.05)4-1 @ 2.19% ( 0.04)4-0 @ 1.82% ( 0.02)4-2 @ 1.32% ( 0.03)Other @ 3.26% Total : 48.16% | 1-1 @ 11.37% ( -0.08) 2-2 @ 5.7% ( 0.05)0-0 @ 5.68% ( -0.13)3-3 @ 1.27% ( 0.03)Other @ 0.17% Total : 24.19% | 1-2 @ 6.85% ( 0) 0-1 @ 6.83% ( -0.11)0-2 @ 4.11% ( -0.03)1-3 @ 2.75% ( 0.02)2-3 @ 2.29% ( 0.04)0-3 @ 1.65% ( -0)Other @ 3.16% Total : 27.64% |
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