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Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a New York City FC win with a probability of 47.74%. A win for Columbus Crew had a probability of 28.29% and a draw had a probability of 24%.
The most likely scoreline for a New York City FC win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.44%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (8.98%) and 2-0 (7.58%). The likeliest Columbus Crew win was 1-2 (6.97%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.19%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with an 11.2% likelihood.
| Result | ||
| New York City FC | Draw | Columbus Crew |
47.74% ( -4.11) | 23.96% ( 0.76) | 28.29% ( 3.36) |
| Both teams to score 58.05% ( 0.47) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 56.16% ( -0.76) | 43.84% ( 0.77) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 33.78% ( -0.75) | 66.23% ( 0.76) |
| New York City FC Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 81.5% ( -1.85) | 18.51% ( 1.85) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 50.27% ( -3.21) | 49.73% ( 3.22) |
| Columbus Crew Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 71.23% ( 2.14) | 28.77% ( -2.13) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 35.39% ( 2.59) | 64.61% ( -2.58) |
| Score Analysis |
| New York City FC | Draw | Columbus Crew |
| 2-1 @ 9.44% ( -0.27) 1-0 @ 8.98% ( -0.24)2-0 @ 7.58% ( -0.69)3-1 @ 5.31% ( -0.49)3-0 @ 4.26% ( -0.68)3-2 @ 3.31% ( -0.1)4-1 @ 2.24% ( -0.36)4-0 @ 1.8% ( -0.42)4-2 @ 1.4% ( -0.13)Other @ 3.44% Total : 47.75% | 1-1 @ 11.19% ( 0.36) 2-2 @ 5.88% ( 0.18)0-0 @ 5.32% ( 0.18)3-3 @ 1.37% ( 0.04)Other @ 0.2% Total : 23.96% | 1-2 @ 6.97% ( 0.61) 0-1 @ 6.63% ( 0.59)0-2 @ 4.13% ( 0.58)1-3 @ 2.9% ( 0.41)2-3 @ 2.44% ( 0.21)0-3 @ 1.72% ( 0.33)1-4 @ 0.9% ( 0.17)Other @ 2.6% Total : 28.29% |
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