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Major League Soccer
Aug 29, 2024 at 12.30am UK
Subaru Park
CC

Philadelphia
0 - 1
Columbus Crew


Wagner (45+5')
FT(HT: 0-0)
Yeboah (75')
Jones (3'), Amundsen (89'), Schulte (90+6')

Form, Standings, Stats

We said: Philadelphia Union 2-0 Columbus Crew

The Union have built up some nice momentum at home recently, and playing a Crew side just a few days removed from the emotional high of winning the Leagues Cup, we believe the reigning MLS Cup champions will suffer a letdown in midweek. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Philadelphia Union win with a probability of 41.57%. A win for Columbus Crew had a probability of 34.9% and a draw had a probability of 23.5%.

The most likely scoreline for a Philadelphia Union win was 2-1 with a probability of 8.76%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (7.04%) and 2-0 (5.83%). The likeliest Columbus Crew win was 1-2 (7.94%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (10.57%). The actual scoreline of 0-1 was predicted with a 6.4% likelihood.

Result
Philadelphia UnionDrawColumbus Crew
41.57% (-0.601 -0.6) 23.53% (0.061 0.06) 34.9% (0.543 0.54)
Both teams to score 62.9% (-0.079999999999998 -0.08)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
61.14% (-0.16099999999999 -0.16)38.86% (0.165 0.16)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
38.82% (-0.172 -0.17)61.18% (0.175 0.17)
Philadelphia Union Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
80.93% (-0.325 -0.33)19.07% (0.329 0.33)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
49.33% (-0.546 -0.55)50.67% (0.549 0.55)
Columbus Crew Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
77.72% (0.218 0.22)22.28% (-0.213 -0.21)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
44.27% (0.325 0.32)55.73% (-0.321 -0.32)
Score Analysis
    Philadelphia Union 41.57%
    Columbus Crew 34.9%
    Draw 23.53%
Philadelphia UnionDrawColumbus Crew
2-1 @ 8.76% (-0.059000000000001 -0.06)
1-0 @ 7.04% (-0.018 -0.02)
2-0 @ 5.83% (-0.077 -0.08)
3-1 @ 4.84% (-0.084000000000001 -0.08)
3-2 @ 3.63% (-0.039 -0.04)
3-0 @ 3.22% (-0.076 -0.08)
4-1 @ 2% (-0.056 -0.06)
4-2 @ 1.5% (-0.032 -0.03)
4-0 @ 1.34% (-0.046 -0.05)
Other @ 3.41%
Total : 41.57%
1-1 @ 10.57% (0.040000000000001 0.04)
2-2 @ 6.58% (-0.0019999999999998 -0)
0-0 @ 4.25% (0.032999999999999 0.03)
3-3 @ 1.82% (-0.0069999999999999 -0.01)
Other @ 0.31%
Total : 23.53%
1-2 @ 7.94% (0.081 0.08)
0-1 @ 6.38% (0.09 0.09)
0-2 @ 4.79% (0.098 0.1)
1-3 @ 3.97% (0.065 0.07)
2-3 @ 3.29% (0.02 0.02)
0-3 @ 2.4% (0.064 0.06)
1-4 @ 1.49% (0.034 0.03)
2-4 @ 1.24% (0.015 0.02)
Other @ 3.41%
Total : 34.9%

Read more!
Read more!
Form Guide
Last Game: Philadelphia 2-2 Colorado (1-3 pen.)
Sunday, August 25 at 9.30pm in Leagues Cup
Last Game: Columbus Crew 3-1 Philadelphia
Thursday, August 22 at 12.30am in Leagues Cup
Last Game: Philadelphia 1-1 Mazatlan (4-3 pen.)
Sunday, August 18 at 12.30am in Leagues Cup
Last Game: Cincinnati 2-4 Philadelphia
Wednesday, August 14 at 12.30am in Leagues Cup
Last Game: Philadelphia 2-0 Montreal
Saturday, August 10 at 12.30am in Leagues Cup
Last Game: Philadelphia 1-1 Cruz Azul (3-5 pen.)
Monday, August 5 at 1am in Leagues Cup
Last Game: Columbus Crew 3-1 Los Angeles
Monday, August 26 at 12.15am in Leagues Cup
Last Game: Columbus Crew 3-1 Philadelphia
Thursday, August 22 at 12.30am in Leagues Cup
Last Game: Columbus Crew 1-1 NY City (4-3 pen.)
Saturday, August 17 at 11pm in Leagues Cup
Last Game: Columbus Crew 3-2 Inter Miami
Wednesday, August 14 at 12.30am in Leagues Cup
Last Game: Columbus Crew 4-0 Kansas
Saturday, August 10 at 12.30am in Leagues Cup
Last Game: Columbus Crew 4-1 Aston Villa
Sunday, July 28 at 1am in Club Friendlies 3


Sports Mole provides in-depth previews and predictions for every match from the biggest leagues and competitions in world football.
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