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FD
Major League Soccer
Jul 14, 2022 at 2am UK
Pizza Hut Park
NY
Dallas
0 - 1
NY City

Ntsabeleng (50'), Jara (90+6')
FT(HT: 0-1)
Heber (29')
Chanot (8'), Johnson (90+4')

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Houston 2-2 Dallas
Sunday, July 10 at 1.30am in Major League Soccer

We said: Dallas 1-2 New York City FC

Off the back of a comfortable victory over the Revs, New York City FC will head into the game with renewed confidence as they look to go top of the log in the East. While we expect a cagey contest against a Dallas side who have proven tough to crack in this fixture, we are backing the Pigeons to claim all three points on Wednesday. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Dallas win with a probability of 39.78%. A win for New York City FC had a probability of 35.37% and a draw had a probability of 24.8%.

The most likely scoreline for a Dallas win was 2-1 with a probability of 8.66%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (8.36%) and 2-0 (6.23%). The likeliest New York City FC win was 1-2 (8.09%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.62%). The actual scoreline of 0-1 was predicted with a 7.8% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted that New York City FC would win this match.

Result
DallasDrawNew York City FC
39.78% (0.176 0.18) 24.84% (0.133 0.13) 35.37% (-0.31 -0.31)
Both teams to score 58.16% (-0.52 -0.52)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
54.92% (-0.658 -0.66)45.07% (0.657 0.66)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
32.57% (-0.634 -0.63)67.42% (0.634 0.63)
Dallas Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
77.44% (-0.199 -0.2)22.56% (0.197 0.2)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
43.84% (-0.297 -0.3)56.15% (0.295 0.3)
New York City FC Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
75.1% (-0.48 -0.48)24.9% (0.479 0.48)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
40.49% (-0.67 -0.67)59.51% (0.669 0.67)
Score Analysis
    Dallas 39.78%
    New York City FC 35.37%
    Draw 24.84%
DallasDrawNew York City FC
2-1 @ 8.66% (0.022 0.02)
1-0 @ 8.36% (0.185 0.18)
2-0 @ 6.23% (0.102 0.1)
3-1 @ 4.3% (-0.015 -0.01)
3-0 @ 3.09% (0.032 0.03)
3-2 @ 2.99% (-0.052 -0.05)
4-1 @ 1.6% (-0.015 -0.02)
4-0 @ 1.15% (0.0049999999999999 0)
4-2 @ 1.11% (-0.026 -0.03)
Other @ 2.3%
Total : 39.78%
1-1 @ 11.62% (0.09 0.09)
2-2 @ 6.02% (-0.068 -0.07)
0-0 @ 5.62% (0.157 0.16)
3-3 @ 1.39% (-0.043 -0.04)
Other @ 0.2%
Total : 24.84%
1-2 @ 8.09% (-0.043999999999999 -0.04)
0-1 @ 7.81% (0.112 0.11)
0-2 @ 5.43% (0.0030000000000001 0)
1-3 @ 3.75% (-0.073 -0.07)
2-3 @ 2.79% (-0.071 -0.07)
0-3 @ 2.52% (-0.034 -0.03)
1-4 @ 1.3% (-0.044 -0.04)
2-4 @ 0.97% (-0.038 -0.04)
Other @ 2.72%
Total : 35.37%

Read more!
Read more!
Form Guide
Last Game: Houston 2-2 Dallas
Sunday, July 10 at 1.30am in Major League Soccer
Last Game: Dallas 1-1 Inter Miami
Tuesday, July 5 at 2am in Major League Soccer
Last Game: Los Angeles 3-1 Dallas
Thursday, June 30 at 3.30am in Major League Soccer
Last Game: Austin 2-2 Dallas
Sunday, June 26 at 2am in Major League Soccer
Last Game: Dallas 0-2 Vancouver
Sunday, June 19 at 2am in Major League Soccer
Last Game: Orlando City 1-3 Dallas
Sunday, May 29 at 12.30am in Major League Soccer
Last Game: NY City 4-2 New England
Saturday, July 9 at 6pm in Major League Soccer
Last Game: NY City 2-2 Atlanta
Sunday, July 3 at 10pm in Major League Soccer
Last Game: Cincinnati 4-4 NY City
Thursday, June 30 at 12.30am in Major League Soccer
Last Game: Philadelphia 2-1 NY City
Sunday, June 26 at 11pm in Major League Soccer
Last Game: NY City 1-1 Colorado
Sunday, June 19 at 10pm in Major League Soccer
Last Game: Minnesota Utd 0-1 NY City
Sunday, May 29 at 1am in Major League Soccer

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