Major League Soccer

Jul 14, 2022 at 2am UK

Pizza Hut Park

Dallas
0 - 1
NY City

Ntsabeleng (50'), Jara (90+6')

FT(HT: 0-1)

Heber (29')
Chanot (8'), Johnson (90+4')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Thursday's Major League Soccer clash between Dallas and New York City FC, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

We said: Dallas 1-2 New York City FC

Off the back of a comfortable victory over the Revs, New York City FC will head into the game with renewed confidence as they look to go top of the log in the East. While we expect a cagey contest against a Dallas side who have proven tough to crack in this fixture, we are backing the Pigeons to claim all three points on Wednesday. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Dallas win with a probability of 39.78%. A win for New York City FC had a probability of 35.37% and a draw had a probability of 24.8%.

The most likely scoreline for a Dallas win was 2-1 with a probability of 8.66%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (8.36%) and 2-0 (6.23%). The likeliest New York City FC win was 1-2 (8.09%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.62%). The actual scoreline of 0-1 was predicted with a 7.8% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted that New York City FC would win this match.

Result
Dallas	Draw	New York City FC
39.78% ( 0.18)	24.84% ( 0.13)	35.37% ( -0.31)

Both teams to score 58.16% (

-0.52)

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

54.92% (

-0.66)

45.07% (

0.66)

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

32.57% (

-0.63)

67.42% (

0.63)

Dallas Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

77.44% (

-0.2)

22.56% (

0.2)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

43.84% (

-0.3)

56.15% (

0.3)

New York City FC Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

75.1% (

-0.48)

24.9% (

0.48)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

40.49% (

-0.67)

59.51% (

0.67)

Score Analysis

Dallas 39.78%

New York City FC 35.37%

Draw 24.84%

Dallas	Draw	New York City FC
2-1 @ 8.66% ( 0.02) 1-0 @ 8.36% ( 0.18) 2-0 @ 6.23% ( 0.1) 3-1 @ 4.3% ( -0.01) 3-0 @ 3.09% ( 0.03) 3-2 @ 2.99% ( -0.05) 4-1 @ 1.6% ( -0.02) 4-0 @ 1.15% ( 0) 4-2 @ 1.11% ( -0.03) Other @ 2.3% Total : 39.78%	1-1 @ 11.62% ( 0.09) 2-2 @ 6.02% ( -0.07) 0-0 @ 5.62% ( 0.16) 3-3 @ 1.39% ( -0.04) Other @ 0.2% Total : 24.84%	1-2 @ 8.09% ( -0.04) 0-1 @ 7.81% ( 0.11) 0-2 @ 5.43% ( 0) 1-3 @ 3.75% ( -0.07) 2-3 @ 2.79% ( -0.07) 0-3 @ 2.52% ( -0.03) 1-4 @ 1.3% ( -0.04) 2-4 @ 0.97% ( -0.04) Other @ 2.72% Total : 35.37%