Los Angeles FC usually do their best work on home turf, and after winning the last two meetings against Dallas, we think that the hosts will edge out their opponents to clinch all three points. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Los Angeles FC win with a probability of 61.93%. A draw had a probability of 20.5% and a win for Dallas had a probability of 17.55%.

The most likely scoreline for a Los Angeles FC win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.94%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (9.88%) and 1-0 (9.53%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (9.59%), while for a Dallas win it was 1-2 (4.83%). The actual scoreline of 3-1 was predicted with a 6.9% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Los Angeles FC would win this match.

Result
Los Angeles FC	Draw	Dallas
61.93% ( -0.79)	20.52% ( 0.2)	17.55% ( 0.59)

Both teams to score 55.48% (

0.56)

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

59.45% (

0.15)

40.55% (

-0.14)

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

37.07% (

0.15)

62.93% (

-0.15)

Los Angeles FC Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

87.42% (

-0.18)

12.58% (

0.18)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

61.35% (

-0.37)

38.65% (

0.37)

Dallas Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

63.47% (

0.77)

36.53% (

-0.77)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

26.68% (

0.77)

73.32% (

-0.77)

Score Analysis

Los Angeles FC 61.93%

Dallas 17.55%

Draw 20.52%

Los Angeles FC	Draw	Dallas
2-1 @ 9.94% ( 0.01) 2-0 @ 9.88% ( -0.2) 1-0 @ 9.53% ( -0.13) 3-1 @ 6.87% ( -0.04) 3-0 @ 6.83% ( -0.19) 4-1 @ 3.56% ( -0.05) 4-0 @ 3.54% ( -0.12) 3-2 @ 3.46% ( 0.05) 4-2 @ 1.79% ( 0.01) 5-1 @ 1.48% ( -0.03) 5-0 @ 1.47% ( -0.06) Other @ 3.59% Total : 61.93%	1-1 @ 9.59% ( 0.07) 2-2 @ 5.01% ( 0.11) 0-0 @ 4.6% ( -0.03) 3-3 @ 1.16% ( 0.04) Other @ 0.17% Total : 20.52%	1-2 @ 4.83% ( 0.14) 0-1 @ 4.63% ( 0.07) 0-2 @ 2.33% ( 0.08) 2-3 @ 1.68% ( 0.07) 1-3 @ 1.62% ( 0.08) Other @ 2.46% Total : 17.55%