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Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Austin FC win with a probability of 58.66%. A draw had a probability of 20.9% and a win for Dallas had a probability of 20.4%.
The most likely scoreline for an Austin FC win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.86%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (8.66%) and 1-0 (8.4%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (9.56%), while for a Dallas win it was 1-2 (5.44%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with a 9.9% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 2-1 win for Austin FC in this match.
| Result | ||
| Austin FC | Draw | Dallas |
58.66% ( 1.43) | 20.95% ( -0.43) | 20.4% ( -1) |
| Both teams to score 59.32% ( -0.07) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 62.02% ( 0.63) | 37.97% ( -0.63) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 39.77% ( 0.67) | 60.23% ( -0.67) |
| Austin FC Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 87.29% ( 0.63) | 12.71% ( -0.62) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 61.07% ( 1.27) | 38.93% ( -1.27) |
| Dallas Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 67.96% ( -0.57) | 32.04% ( 0.57) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 31.49% ( -0.65) | 68.51% ( 0.65) |
| Score Analysis |
| Austin FC | Draw | Dallas |
| 2-1 @ 9.86% ( 0.01) 2-0 @ 8.66% ( 0.15)1-0 @ 8.4% ( -0.05)3-1 @ 6.78% ( 0.17)3-0 @ 5.96% ( 0.24)3-2 @ 3.86% ( 0.04)4-1 @ 3.5% ( 0.17)4-0 @ 3.07% ( 0.19)4-2 @ 1.99% ( 0.07)5-1 @ 1.44% ( 0.1)5-0 @ 1.27% ( 0.11)Other @ 3.87% Total : 58.66% | 1-1 @ 9.56% ( -0.21) 2-2 @ 5.61% ( -0.08)0-0 @ 4.07% ( -0.12)3-3 @ 1.46% ( -0.01)Other @ 0.24% Total : 20.95% | 1-2 @ 5.44% ( -0.21) 0-1 @ 4.64% ( -0.22)0-2 @ 2.64% ( -0.17)2-3 @ 2.13% ( -0.06)1-3 @ 2.06% ( -0.11)0-3 @ 1% ( -0.08)Other @ 2.49% Total : 20.4% |
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