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Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Austin FC win with a probability of 54.8%. A draw had a probability of 24.3% and a win for Dallas had a probability of 20.9%.
The most likely scoreline for an Austin FC win was 1-0 with a probability of 12.4%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (10.35%) and 2-1 (9.63%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (11.53%), while for a Dallas win it was 0-1 (6.9%). The actual scoreline of 3-0 was predicted with a 5.8% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Austin FC would win this match.
| Result | ||
| Austin FC | Draw | Dallas |
54.8% ( -0.1) | 24.29% ( -0.01) | 20.9% ( 0.1) |
| Both teams to score 49.14% ( 0.15) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 48.16% ( 0.13) | 51.83% ( -0.14) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 26.4% ( 0.11) | 73.59% ( -0.12) |
| Austin FC Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 81.18% ( 0.01) | 18.82% ( -0.02) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 49.75% ( 0.02) | 50.25% ( -0.03) |
| Dallas Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 60.53% ( 0.17) | 39.46% ( -0.18) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 23.84% ( 0.16) | 76.15% ( -0.17) |
| Score Analysis |
| Austin FC | Draw | Dallas |
| 1-0 @ 12.4% ( -0.06) 2-0 @ 10.35% ( -0.05)2-1 @ 9.63% ( 0)3-0 @ 5.77% ( -0.02)3-1 @ 5.36% ( 0.01)3-2 @ 2.49% ( 0.02)4-0 @ 2.41% ( -0.01)4-1 @ 2.24% ( 0)4-2 @ 1.04% ( 0.01)Other @ 3.09% Total : 54.79% | 1-1 @ 11.53% 0-0 @ 7.43% ( -0.04)2-2 @ 4.48% ( 0.03)Other @ 0.85% Total : 24.29% | 0-1 @ 6.9% ( -0) 1-2 @ 5.36% ( 0.03)0-2 @ 3.21% ( 0.01)1-3 @ 1.66% ( 0.02)2-3 @ 1.39% ( 0.01)0-3 @ 1% ( 0.01)Other @ 1.38% Total : 20.9% |
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