While Los Angeles have suffered a slump in recent weeks, they will be backing themselves against an out-of-sorts Houston side who have picked up just one draw and lost five of their last six games. We predict a one-sided contest with the visitors easing to all three points and extending their dominance in this fixture.
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Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Los Angeles FC win with a probability of 41.16%. A win for Houston Dynamo had a probability of 34.31% and a draw had a probability of 24.5%.
The most likely scoreline for a Los Angeles FC win was 1-2 with a probability of 8.81%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-1 (8.21%) and 0-2 (6.34%). The likeliest Houston Dynamo win was 2-1 (7.93%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.41%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with a 7.9% likelihood.
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