All four previous meetings between the two sides took place in 2020, with Nashville winning two of those encounters, and we think that the visitors have that little bit of extra quality that will make all the difference on Saturday.
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Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Dallas win with a probability of 41.97%. A win for Nashville SC had a probability of 30.51% and a draw had a probability of 27.5%.
The most likely scoreline for a Dallas win was 1-0 with a probability of 12.07%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.5%) and 2-0 (7.91%). The likeliest Nashville SC win was 0-1 (9.89%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.96%). The actual scoreline of 2-0 was predicted with a 7.9% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Dallas would win this match.
