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Major League Soccer | Gameweek 3
May 1, 2022 at 9pm UK
Nissan Stadium
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Nashville
1 - 1
Philadelphia

Leal (85' pen.)
Lovitz (33'), Muyl (37'), Davis (49'), Leal (76')
FT(HT: 0-0)
Uhre (66')
Wagner (60'), Andres Martinez (62'), Blake (84')

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Colorado 1-3 Nashville
Sunday, May 29 at 2am in Major League Soccer
Next Game: Nashville vs. Earthquakes
Sunday, June 12 at 1am in Major League Soccer
Last Game: New England 1-1 Philadelphia
Sunday, May 29 at 12.30am in Major League Soccer
Next Game: Philadelphia vs. Cincinnati
Sunday, June 19 at 12.30am in Major League Soccer

We said: Nashville SC 1-1 Philadelphia Union

These are two of the most pragmatic sides in MLS, who are rock solid at the back and do not take a lot of chances unless they need to. Look for this to be another cagey affair between a pair of teams that would rather preserve a point in regular-season play instead of potentially losing one. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Nashville SC win with a probability of 43.65%. A win for Philadelphia Union had a probability of 31.25% and a draw had a probability of 25.1%.

The most likely scoreline for a Nashville SC win was 1-0 with a probability of 9.45%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.06%) and 2-0 (7.22%). The likeliest Philadelphia Union win was 0-1 (7.76%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.86%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with an 11.9% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted a 1-1 draw for this match.

Result
Nashville SCDrawPhiladelphia Union
43.65%25.1%31.25%
Both teams to score 55.98%
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
52.65%47.35%
Over 3.5Under 3.5
30.43%69.57%
Nashville SC Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
78.31%21.69%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
45.16%54.84%
Philadelphia Union Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
71.48%28.51%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
35.71%64.29%
Score Analysis
    Nashville SC 43.65%
    Philadelphia Union 31.25%
    Draw 25.1%
Nashville SCDrawPhiladelphia Union
1-0 @ 9.45%
2-1 @ 9.06%
2-0 @ 7.22%
3-1 @ 4.62%
3-0 @ 3.68%
3-2 @ 2.9%
4-1 @ 1.76%
4-0 @ 1.41%
4-2 @ 1.11%
Other @ 2.44%
Total : 43.65%
1-1 @ 11.86%
0-0 @ 6.18%
2-2 @ 5.69%
3-3 @ 1.21%
Other @ 0.16%
Total : 25.1%
0-1 @ 7.76%
1-2 @ 7.44%
0-2 @ 4.87%
1-3 @ 3.11%
2-3 @ 2.38%
0-3 @ 2.04%
1-4 @ 0.98%
Other @ 2.67%
Total : 31.25%

Read more!
Read more!
Form Guide
Last Game: LA Galaxy 1-0 Nashville
Sunday, April 24 at 3.30am in Major League Soccer
Last Game: Earthquakes 2-2 Nashville
Saturday, April 16 at 8.30pm in Major League Soccer
Last Game: Kansas 1-2 Nashville
Sunday, April 10 at 1.30am in Major League Soccer
Last Game: Columbus Crew 0-1 Nashville
Saturday, April 2 at 11pm in Major League Soccer
Last Game: Salt Lake 2-1 Nashville
Sunday, March 20 at 1.30am in Major League Soccer
Last Game: Dallas 2-0 Nashville
Sunday, March 13 at 1.30am in Major League Soccer
Last Game: Philadelphia 1-1 Montreal
Saturday, April 23 at 8pm in Major League Soccer
Last Game: Toronto 2-1 Philadelphia
Sunday, April 17 at 12.30am in Major League Soccer
Last Game: Philadelphia 1-0 Columbus Crew
Saturday, April 9 at 11pm in Major League Soccer
Last Game: Philadelphia 2-0 Charlotte FC
Sunday, April 3 at 12.30am in Major League Soccer
Last Game: NY City 0-2 Philadelphia
Saturday, March 19 at 5pm in Major League Soccer
Last Game: Philadelphia 2-0 Earthquakes
Sunday, March 13 at 12.30am in Major League Soccer


Sports Mole provides in-depth previews and predictions for every match from the biggest leagues and competitions in world football.
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