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Major League Soccer
Feb 26, 2023 at 1.30am UK
Toyota Stadium
MU

Dallas
0 - 1
Minnesota Utd


Farfan (62')
FT(HT: 0-0)
Garcia (48')
Trapp (24'), Tapias (50')

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Austin 2-1 Dallas
Monday, October 24 at 1am in MLS Playoffs

We said: Dallas 2-0 Minnesota United

Dallas come into Sunday's opener as favourites due to their excellent 2022 season and Minnesota's dreadful form at the end of last season. The visitors being without their main attacking threat means that Dallas will be very confident of kicking off their season with three points. Ferreira and Arriola will surely be too much for a Reynoso-less Minnesota to cope with.

How to watch

You can watch Dallas vs. Minnesota United and every MLS match this season live on Apple TV. Click here for more details on how to subscribe. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Dallas win with a probability of 59.24%. A draw had a probability of 22.4% and a win for Minnesota United had a probability of 18.4%.

The most likely scoreline for a Dallas win was 1-0 with a probability of 11.46%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (10.65%) and 2-1 (9.88%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (10.63%), while for a Minnesota United win it was 0-1 (5.72%). The actual scoreline of 0-1 was predicted with a 5.7% likelihood.

Result
DallasDrawMinnesota United
59.24% (-0.033000000000001 -0.03) 22.36% (-0.0060000000000002 -0.01) 18.4% (0.036999999999999 0.04)
Both teams to score 51.01% (0.085000000000001 0.09)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
52.7% (0.078000000000003 0.08)47.29% (-0.080999999999996 -0.08)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
30.48% (0.073 0.07)69.52% (-0.075999999999993 -0.08)
Dallas Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
84.4% (0.015999999999991 0.02)15.6% (-0.019 -0.02)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
55.42% (0.030000000000001 0.03)44.58% (-0.032000000000004 -0.03)
Minnesota United Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
60.44% (0.089000000000006 0.09)39.56% (-0.090000000000003 -0.09)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
23.75% (0.081 0.08)76.24% (-0.084000000000003 -0.08)
Score Analysis
    Dallas 59.24%
    Minnesota United 18.4%
    Draw 22.36%
DallasDrawMinnesota United
1-0 @ 11.46% (-0.029999999999999 -0.03)
2-0 @ 10.65% (-0.02 -0.02)
2-1 @ 9.88% (0.0020000000000007 0)
3-0 @ 6.6% (-0.011 -0.01)
3-1 @ 6.12% (0.0049999999999999 0)
4-0 @ 3.06% (-0.0030000000000001 -0)
4-1 @ 2.84% (0.004 0)
3-2 @ 2.84% (0.01 0.01)
4-2 @ 1.32% (0.0050000000000001 0.01)
5-0 @ 1.14%
5-1 @ 1.06% (0.002 0)
Other @ 2.28%
Total : 59.24%
1-1 @ 10.63%
0-0 @ 6.17% (-0.021 -0.02)
2-2 @ 4.58% (0.012 0.01)
Other @ 0.98%
Total : 22.36%
0-1 @ 5.72% (-0.0049999999999999 -0)
1-2 @ 4.93% (0.011 0.01)
0-2 @ 2.65% (0.004 0)
1-3 @ 1.52% (0.0070000000000001 0.01)
2-3 @ 1.42% (0.0069999999999999 0.01)
Other @ 2.15%
Total : 18.4%

Read more!
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Form Guide
Last Game: Austin 2-1 Dallas
Monday, October 24 at 1am in MLS Playoffs
Last Game: Dallas 1-1 Minnesota Utd (5-4 pen.)
Tuesday, October 18 at 2.30am in MLS Playoffs
Last Game: Dallas 2-1 Kansas
Sunday, October 9 at 10pm in Major League Soccer
Last Game: Colorado 1-0 Dallas
Saturday, October 1 at 8.30pm in Major League Soccer
Last Game: Earthquakes 1-1 Dallas
Sunday, September 18 at 3.30am in Major League Soccer
Last Game: Dallas 2-1 Los Angeles
Sunday, September 11 at 1.30am in Major League Soccer
Last Game: Dallas 1-1 Minnesota Utd (5-4 pen.)
Tuesday, October 18 at 2.30am in MLS Playoffs
Last Game: Minnesota Utd 2-0 Vancouver
Sunday, October 9 at 10pm in Major League Soccer
Last Game: Earthquakes 2-0 Minnesota Utd
Sunday, October 2 at 3am in Major League Soccer
Last Game: Kansas 4-1 Minnesota Utd
Sunday, September 18 at 1.30am in Major League Soccer
Last Game: Minnesota Utd 1-1 Los Angeles
Wednesday, September 14 at 1am in Major League Soccer
Last Game: Portland 1-0 Minnesota Utd
Sunday, September 11 at 3am in Major League Soccer


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