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Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a DC United win with a probability of 49.53%. A win for Dallas had a probability of 27.57% and a draw had a probability of 22.9%.
The most likely scoreline for a DC United win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.49%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (7.95%) and 2-0 (7.25%). The likeliest Dallas win was 1-2 (6.81%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (10.41%). The actual scoreline of 3-4 was predicted with a 0.5% likelihood.
| Result | ||
| DC United | Draw | Dallas |
49.53% ( -0.02) | 22.9% ( -0.02) | 27.57% ( 0.04) |
| Both teams to score 61.2% ( 0.11) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 60.58% ( 0.13) | 39.42% ( -0.13) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 38.23% ( 0.14) | 61.76% ( -0.13) |
| DC United Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 83.85% ( 0.04) | 16.15% ( -0.04) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 54.4% ( 0.08) | 45.6% ( -0.07) |
| Dallas Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 72.99% ( 0.1) | 27.01% ( -0.09) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 37.64% ( 0.12) | 62.36% ( -0.12) |
| Score Analysis |
| DC United | Draw | Dallas |
| 2-1 @ 9.49% ( -0.01) 1-0 @ 7.95% ( -0.04)2-0 @ 7.25% ( -0.02)3-1 @ 5.77% ( 0)3-0 @ 4.41% ( -0.01)3-2 @ 3.78% ( 0.01)4-1 @ 2.63% ( 0.01)4-0 @ 2.01% ( -0)4-2 @ 1.72% ( 0.01)5-1 @ 0.96% ( 0)Other @ 3.57% Total : 49.53% | 1-1 @ 10.41% ( -0.02) 2-2 @ 6.21% ( 0.01)0-0 @ 4.36% ( -0.03)3-3 @ 1.65% ( 0.01)Other @ 0.27% Total : 22.9% | 1-2 @ 6.81% ( 0) 0-1 @ 5.71% ( -0.02)0-2 @ 3.74% ( -0)1-3 @ 2.97% ( 0.01)2-3 @ 2.71% ( 0.01)0-3 @ 1.63% ( 0)1-4 @ 0.97% ( 0.01)Other @ 3.02% Total : 27.57% |
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