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FD
Major League Soccer
Jun 30, 2024 at 1.30am UK
Toyota Stadium
FC

Dallas
0 - 1
Cincinnati


Norris (58'), Ibeagha (82')
FT(HT: 0-0)
Orellano (47')
Kubo (18'), Powell (56'), Yedlin (61'), Kelsy (65'), Celentano (88'), Acosta (90+4')

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Seattle 3-2 Dallas
Sunday, June 23 at 3.30am in Major League Soccer
Last Game: Cincinnati 1-2 New England
Sunday, June 23 at 12.30am in Major League Soccer

We said: Dallas 1-1 FC Cincinnati

Sunday's game promises to be an intriguing one, and while FC Cincinnati have enjoyed the far stronger season thus far, their hosts are gaining confidence and improving under new management. The hosts' encouraging run, combined with a growing list of absentees for the Orange and Blue, could result in a share of the spoils in Texas. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a FC Cincinnati win with a probability of 40.2%. A win for Dallas had a probability of 35.71% and a draw had a probability of 24.1%.

The most likely scoreline for a FC Cincinnati win was 1-2 with a probability of 8.67%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-1 (7.52%) and 0-2 (5.91%). The likeliest Dallas win was 2-1 (8.11%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.04%). The actual scoreline of 0-1 was predicted with a 7.5% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that FC Cincinnati would win this match.

Result
DallasDrawFC Cincinnati
35.71% (-0.061 -0.06) 24.08% (0.0019999999999989 0) 40.2% (0.057000000000002 0.06)
Both teams to score 60.98% (-0.023000000000003 -0.02)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
58.56% (-0.024999999999999 -0.02)41.43% (0.024999999999999 0.02)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
36.17% (-0.026000000000003 -0.03)63.83% (0.025000000000006 0.03)
Dallas Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
76.97% (-0.043999999999997 -0.04)23.03% (0.041999999999998 0.04)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
43.16% (-0.065999999999995 -0.07)56.84% (0.064999999999998 0.06)
FC Cincinnati Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
79.22% (0.015000000000001 0.02)20.78% (-0.015999999999998 -0.02)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
46.57% (0.024000000000001 0.02)53.43% (-0.024000000000001 -0.02)
Score Analysis
    Dallas 35.71%
    FC Cincinnati 40.2%
    Draw 24.08%
DallasDrawFC Cincinnati
2-1 @ 8.11% (-0.0080000000000009 -0.01)
1-0 @ 7.03% (-0.0010000000000003 -0)
2-0 @ 5.16% (-0.0070000000000006 -0.01)
3-1 @ 3.97% (-0.0089999999999999 -0.01)
3-2 @ 3.12% (-0.0060000000000002 -0.01)
3-0 @ 2.53% (-0.0070000000000001 -0.01)
4-1 @ 1.46% (-0.0049999999999999 -0)
4-2 @ 1.14% (-0.004 -0)
4-0 @ 0.93% (-0.004 -0)
Other @ 2.28%
Total : 35.71%
1-1 @ 11.04% (0.0099999999999998 0.01)
2-2 @ 6.37% (-0.0030000000000001 -0)
0-0 @ 4.78% (0.0049999999999999 0)
3-3 @ 1.63% (-0.002 -0)
Other @ 0.26%
Total : 24.08%
1-2 @ 8.67% (0.0079999999999991 0.01)
0-1 @ 7.52% (0.012 0.01)
0-2 @ 5.91% (0.012 0.01)
1-3 @ 4.54% (0.0060000000000002 0.01)
2-3 @ 3.34%
0-3 @ 3.09% (0.008 0.01)
1-4 @ 1.79% (0.004 0)
2-4 @ 1.31%
0-4 @ 1.22% (0.004 0)
Other @ 2.82%
Total : 40.2%

Read more!
Read more!
Form Guide
Last Game: Seattle 3-2 Dallas
Sunday, June 23 at 3.30am in Major League Soccer
Last Game: Dallas 5-3 Minnesota Utd
Thursday, June 20 at 1.30am in Major League Soccer
Last Game: Dallas 2-0 St Louis City
Sunday, June 16 at 1.30am in Major League Soccer
Last Game: Minnesota Utd 1-1 Dallas
Sunday, June 9 at 1.30am in Major League Soccer
Last Game: Los Angeles 1-0 Dallas
Sunday, June 2 at 3.30am in Major League Soccer
Last Game: LA Galaxy 3-1 Dallas
Thursday, May 30 at 3.30am in Major League Soccer
Last Game: Cincinnati 1-2 New England
Sunday, June 23 at 12.30am in Major League Soccer
Last Game: Cincinnati 4-3 Philadelphia
Thursday, June 20 at 12.45am in Major League Soccer
Last Game: Earthquakes 2-4 Cincinnati
Sunday, June 16 at 3.30am in Major League Soccer
Last Game: Cincinnati 0-2 Nashville
Thursday, May 30 at 12.30am in Major League Soccer
Last Game: Toronto 3-4 Cincinnati
Sunday, May 26 at 12.30am in Major League Soccer
Last Game: Cincinnati 3-1 St Louis City
Sunday, May 19 at 12.30am in Major League Soccer


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