SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a New England Revolution win with a probability of 46.55%. A win for Dallas had a probability of 28.82% and a draw had a probability of 24.6%.
The most likely scoreline for a New England Revolution win was 1-0 with a probability of 9.59%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.34%) and 2-0 (7.7%). The likeliest Dallas win was 0-1 (7.24%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.62%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with an 11.6% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted a 1-1 draw for this match.
| Result | ||
| New England Revolution | Draw | Dallas |
46.55% ( 0.13) | 24.64% ( -0.07) | 28.82% ( -0.05) |
| Both teams to score 56.15% ( 0.21) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 53.5% ( 0.3) | 46.5% ( -0.3) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 31.22% ( 0.28) | 68.78% ( -0.28) |
| New England Revolution Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 79.94% ( 0.17) | 20.06% ( -0.17) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 47.72% ( 0.28) | 52.28% ( -0.28) |
| Dallas Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 70.24% ( 0.11) | 29.76% ( -0.11) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 34.17% ( 0.14) | 65.83% ( -0.14) |
| Score Analysis |
| New England Revolution | Draw | Dallas |
| 1-0 @ 9.59% ( -0.07) 2-1 @ 9.34% ( 0.01)2-0 @ 7.7% ( -0.01)3-1 @ 5% ( 0.04)3-0 @ 4.13% ( 0.02)3-2 @ 3.03% ( 0.03)4-1 @ 2.01% ( 0.02)4-0 @ 1.66% ( 0.02)4-2 @ 1.22% ( 0.02)Other @ 2.88% Total : 46.55% | 1-1 @ 11.62% ( -0.04) 0-0 @ 5.97% ( -0.08)2-2 @ 5.66% ( 0.03)3-3 @ 1.22% ( 0.02)Other @ 0.16% Total : 24.63% | 0-1 @ 7.24% ( -0.07) 1-2 @ 7.04% ( -0.01)0-2 @ 4.39% ( -0.03)1-3 @ 2.85% ( 0.01)2-3 @ 2.29% ( 0.02)0-3 @ 1.77% ( -0)Other @ 3.25% Total : 28.82% |
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