Major League Soccer

Jun 25, 2022 at 10pm UK

RFK Stadium

DC United
1 - 3
Nashville

Fountas (59')
Najar (21'), Birnbaum (63')

FT(HT: 0-2)

Lovitz (6'), Williams (45+1', 50')
Lovitz (26'), Zimmerman (54'), Romney (60'), Anunga (84'), Haakenson (90+2')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Saturday's Major League Soccer clash between DC United and Nashville SC, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

We said: DC United 0-2 Nashville SC

While DC United will be looking to return to winning ways, they face the stern test of taking on a Nashville side who they are yet to defeat in the MLS. The visitors head into the game on a run of two consecutive away victories and we predict they will heap more misery on the struggling Black-and-Reds and come away with all three points. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a DC United win with a probability of 41.32%. A win for Nashville SC had a probability of 31.35% and a draw had a probability of 27.3%.

The most likely scoreline for a DC United win was 1-0 with a probability of 11.66%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.49%) and 2-0 (7.67%). The likeliest Nashville SC win was 0-1 (9.83%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.92%). The actual scoreline of 1-3 was predicted with a 2.6% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted that Nashville SC would win this match.

Result
DC United	Draw	Nashville SC
41.32% ( 0.09)	27.33% ( -0.07)	31.35% ( -0.01)

Both teams to score 48.96% (

0.21)

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

43.59% (

0.27)

56.41% (

-0.27)

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

22.58% (

0.22)

77.42% (

-0.22)

DC United Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

73.13% (

0.17)

26.87% (

-0.17)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

37.81% (

0.22)

62.18% (

-0.23)

Nashville SC Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

66.96% (

0.13)

33.04% (

-0.13)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

30.37% (

0.14)

69.63% (

-0.15)

Score Analysis

DC United 41.31%

Nashville SC 31.35%

Draw 27.33%

DC United	Draw	Nashville SC
1-0 @ 11.66% ( -0.07) 2-1 @ 8.49% ( 0.03) 2-0 @ 7.67% ( -0) 3-1 @ 3.72% ( 0.03) 3-0 @ 3.36% ( 0.01) 3-2 @ 2.06% ( 0.02) 4-1 @ 1.22% ( 0.02) 4-0 @ 1.1% ( 0.01) Other @ 2.03% Total : 41.31%	1-1 @ 12.92% ( -0.02) 0-0 @ 8.88% ( -0.09) 2-2 @ 4.7% ( 0.03) Other @ 0.83% Total : 27.33%	0-1 @ 9.83% ( -0.07) 1-2 @ 7.15% ( 0.01) 0-2 @ 5.44% ( -0.02) 1-3 @ 2.64% ( 0.01) 0-3 @ 2.01% ( 0) 2-3 @ 1.74% ( 0.02) Other @ 2.53% Total : 31.35%