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Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a FC Cincinnati win with a probability of 58.99%. A draw had a probability of 21.1% and a win for New England Revolution had a probability of 19.92%.
The most likely scoreline for a FC Cincinnati win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.91%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (9.01%) and 1-0 (8.85%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (9.73%), while for a New England Revolution win it was 1-2 (5.35%). The actual scoreline of 1-2 was predicted with a 5.4% likelihood.
| Result | ||
| FC Cincinnati | Draw | New England Revolution |
58.99% ( 3.07) | 21.09% ( -0.79) | 19.92% ( -2.28) |
| Both teams to score 57.98% ( -0.79) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 60.64% ( 0.59) | 39.36% ( -0.6) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 38.3% ( 0.62) | 61.7% ( -0.62) |
| FC Cincinnati Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 86.94% ( 1.13) | 13.06% ( -1.13) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 60.36% ( 2.26) | 39.64% ( -2.26) |
| New England Revolution Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 66.69% ( -1.8) | 33.31% ( 1.8) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 30.07% ( -2.03) | 69.93% ( 2.03) |
| Score Analysis |
| FC Cincinnati | Draw | New England Revolution |
| 2-1 @ 9.91% ( 0.06) 2-0 @ 9.01% ( 0.49)1-0 @ 8.85% ( 0.12)3-1 @ 6.72% ( 0.32)3-0 @ 6.12% ( 0.57)3-2 @ 3.7% ( -0)4-1 @ 3.42% ( 0.3)4-0 @ 3.11% ( 0.4)4-2 @ 1.88% ( 0.08)5-1 @ 1.39% ( 0.17)5-0 @ 1.27% ( 0.21)Other @ 3.6% Total : 58.99% | 1-1 @ 9.73% ( -0.35) 2-2 @ 5.45% ( -0.24)0-0 @ 4.35% ( -0.12)3-3 @ 1.35% ( -0.07)Other @ 0.21% Total : 21.09% | 1-2 @ 5.35% ( -0.47) 0-1 @ 4.78% ( -0.38)0-2 @ 2.63% ( -0.35)2-3 @ 2% ( -0.19)1-3 @ 1.96% ( -0.28)0-3 @ 0.96% ( -0.19)Other @ 2.24% Total : 19.92% |
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