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Major League Soccer
Jul 31, 2022 at 1am UK
New Fort Lauderdale Stadium
FC
Inter Miami
4 - 4
Cincinnati
Higuain (23', 37', 45+5' pen.), McVey (90+7')
Vassilev (60')
FT(HT: 3-2)
Brenner (28', 40'), Vazquez (81', 86')
Cameron (21'), Barreal (90+4')

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: NY City 2-0 Inter Miami
Sunday, July 24 at 12am in Major League Soccer
Last Game: Cincinnati 1-1 Nashville
Sunday, July 24 at 12.30am in Major League Soccer

We said: Inter Miami 2-1 FC Cincinnati

Inter Miami return home where they will be looking to restore some pride following their humbling defeat at the hands of Barcelona. They have won four of their last five home matches in the league and we are backing them to continue this fine run and claim all three points against a floundering Cincinnati side. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Inter Miami win with a probability of 38.38%. A win for FC Cincinnati had a probability of 35.71% and a draw had a probability of 25.9%.

The most likely scoreline for a Inter Miami win was 1-0 with a probability of 9.38%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.42%) and 2-0 (6.42%). The likeliest FC Cincinnati win was 0-1 (8.98%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.3%). The actual scoreline of 4-4 was predicted with a 0.1% likelihood.

Result
Inter MiamiDrawFC Cincinnati
38.38% (-0.283 -0.28) 25.91% (-0.0010000000000012 -0) 35.71% (0.285 0.29)
Both teams to score 54.49% (0.039999999999999 0.04)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
50.17% (0.035999999999994 0.04)49.82% (-0.033999999999999 -0.03)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
28.17% (0.033999999999999 0.03)71.82% (-0.031000000000006 -0.03)
Inter Miami Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
74.57% (-0.13500000000001 -0.14)25.42% (0.136 0.14)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
39.75% (-0.186 -0.19)60.24% (0.189 0.19)
FC Cincinnati Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
73.06% (0.187 0.19)26.93% (-0.185 -0.18)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
37.73% (0.244 0.24)62.26% (-0.241 -0.24)
Score Analysis
    Inter Miami 38.38%
    FC Cincinnati 35.71%
    Draw 25.91%
Inter MiamiDrawFC Cincinnati
1-0 @ 9.38% (-0.050000000000001 -0.05)
2-1 @ 8.42% (-0.035 -0.04)
2-0 @ 6.42% (-0.06 -0.06)
3-1 @ 3.85% (-0.031 -0.03)
3-0 @ 2.93% (-0.039 -0.04)
3-2 @ 2.52% (-0.0070000000000001 -0.01)
4-1 @ 1.32% (-0.016 -0.02)
4-0 @ 1% (-0.018 -0.02)
Other @ 2.54%
Total : 38.38%
1-1 @ 12.3%
0-0 @ 6.85% (-0.0099999999999998 -0.01)
2-2 @ 5.53% (0.0070000000000006 0.01)
3-3 @ 1.1% (0.0029999999999999 0)
Other @ 0.13%
Total : 25.91%
0-1 @ 8.98% (0.034000000000001 0.03)
1-2 @ 8.07% (0.041 0.04)
0-2 @ 5.89% (0.053 0.05)
1-3 @ 3.53% (0.036 0.04)
0-3 @ 2.58% (0.036 0.04)
2-3 @ 2.42% (0.016 0.02)
1-4 @ 1.16% (0.018 0.02)
Other @ 3.09%
Total : 35.71%

Read more!
Read more!
Form Guide
Last Game: NY City 2-0 Inter Miami
Sunday, July 24 at 12am in Major League Soccer
Last Game: Inter Miami 0-6 Barcelona
Wednesday, July 20 at 1am in Club Friendlies 1
Last Game: Inter Miami 3-2 Charlotte FC
Sunday, July 17 at 2.22am in Major League Soccer
Last Game: Inter Miami 1-2 Philadelphia
Thursday, July 14 at 1am in Major League Soccer
Last Game: Orlando City 1-0 Inter Miami
Sunday, July 10 at 3.24am in Major League Soccer
Last Game: Dallas 1-1 Inter Miami
Tuesday, July 5 at 2am in Major League Soccer
Last Game: Cincinnati 1-1 Nashville
Sunday, July 24 at 12.30am in Major League Soccer
Last Game: Columbus Crew 2-0 Cincinnati
Monday, July 18 at 12.30am in Major League Soccer
Last Game: Cincinnati 2-2 Vancouver
Thursday, July 14 at 1am in Major League Soccer
Last Game: Cincinnati 1-1 NY Red Bulls
Sunday, July 10 at 12.30am in Major League Soccer
Last Game: New England 2-2 Cincinnati
Monday, July 4 at 12.30am in Major League Soccer
Last Game: Cincinnati 4-4 NY City
Thursday, June 30 at 12.30am in Major League Soccer

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