For whatever reason, Cincinnati seem to struggle at home and are not quite as sharp on the ball over 90 minutes.
Although Toronto have struggled on the road, we expect Bradley and his young team to make the proper tactical adjustments in this one as they have done an excellent job at learning from past mistakes.
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Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a FC Cincinnati win with a probability of 40.64%. A win for Toronto had a probability of 34.44% and a draw had a probability of 24.9%.
The most likely scoreline for a FC Cincinnati win was 2-1 with a probability of 8.76%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (8.6%) and 2-0 (6.44%). The likeliest Toronto win was 1-2 (7.95%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.69%). The actual scoreline of 2-0 was predicted with a 6.4% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that FC Cincinnati would win this match.
