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FC
Major League Soccer
May 5, 2022 at 12.30am UK
Nippert Stadium
TF
Cincinnati
2 - 0
Toronto
Harris (2'), Acosta (57' pen.)
Nwobodo (59'), Blackett (75'), Barreal (88')
FT(HT: 1-0)

Nelson (12')
Priso-Mbongue (6')

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Montreal 4-3 Cincinnati
Sunday, May 29 at 12.30am in Major League Soccer
Next Game: Philadelphia vs. Cincinnati
Sunday, June 19 at 12.30am in Major League Soccer
Last Game: Toronto 3-2 Chicago Fire
Sunday, May 29 at 12am in Major League Soccer
Next Game: NY Red Bulls vs. Toronto
Sunday, June 19 at 12am in Major League Soccer

We said: FC Cincinnati 1-2 Toronto

For whatever reason, Cincinnati seem to struggle at home and are not quite as sharp on the ball over 90 minutes. Although Toronto have struggled on the road, we expect Bradley and his young team to make the proper tactical adjustments in this one as they have done an excellent job at learning from past mistakes. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a FC Cincinnati win with a probability of 40.64%. A win for Toronto had a probability of 34.44% and a draw had a probability of 24.9%.

The most likely scoreline for a FC Cincinnati win was 2-1 with a probability of 8.76%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (8.6%) and 2-0 (6.44%). The likeliest Toronto win was 1-2 (7.95%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.69%). The actual scoreline of 2-0 was predicted with a 6.4% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that FC Cincinnati would win this match.

Result
FC CincinnatiDrawToronto
40.64%24.92%34.44%
Both teams to score 57.7%
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
54.41%45.58%
Over 3.5Under 3.5
32.09%67.91%
FC Cincinnati Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
77.63%22.36%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
44.14%55.85%
Toronto Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
74.32%25.67%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
39.42%60.58%
Score Analysis
    FC Cincinnati 40.64%
    Toronto 34.44%
    Draw 24.92%
FC CincinnatiDrawToronto
2-1 @ 8.76%
1-0 @ 8.6%
2-0 @ 6.44%
3-1 @ 4.37%
3-0 @ 3.22%
3-2 @ 2.97%
4-1 @ 1.64%
4-0 @ 1.2%
4-2 @ 1.11%
Other @ 2.33%
Total : 40.64%
1-1 @ 11.69%
2-2 @ 5.95%
0-0 @ 5.74%
3-3 @ 1.35%
Other @ 0.19%
Total : 24.92%
1-2 @ 7.95%
0-1 @ 7.81%
0-2 @ 5.31%
1-3 @ 3.6%
2-3 @ 2.7%
0-3 @ 2.41%
1-4 @ 1.23%
2-4 @ 0.92%
Other @ 2.53%
Total : 34.44%

Read more!
Read more!
Form Guide
Last Game: Toronto 1-2 Cincinnati
Saturday, April 30 at 8pm in Major League Soccer
Last Game: Cincinnati 1-2 Los Angeles
Sunday, April 24 at 10pm in Major League Soccer
Last Game: Atlanta 0-0 Cincinnati
Saturday, April 16 at 11pm in Major League Soccer
Last Game: Cincinnati 3-4 Montreal
Saturday, April 2 at 9pm in Major League Soccer
Last Game: Charlotte FC 2-0 Cincinnati
Saturday, March 26 at 9pm in Major League Soccer
Last Game: Cincinnati 3-1 Inter Miami
Saturday, March 19 at 5pm in Major League Soccer
Last Game: Toronto 1-2 Cincinnati
Saturday, April 30 at 8pm in Major League Soccer
Last Game: NY City 5-4 Toronto
Sunday, April 24 at 10pm in Major League Soccer
Last Game: Toronto 2-1 Philadelphia
Sunday, April 17 at 12.30am in Major League Soccer
Last Game: Salt Lake 2-2 Toronto
Sunday, April 10 at 1am in Major League Soccer
Last Game: Toronto 2-1 NY City
Saturday, April 2 at 9pm in Major League Soccer
Last Game: Toronto 2-1 DC United
Saturday, March 19 at 7pm in Major League Soccer

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