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Major League Soccer
Apr 30, 2022 at 8pm UK
BMO Field
FC
Toronto
1 - 2
Cincinnati
Jimenez (65')
Achara (86')
FT(HT: 0-1)
Murphy (44'), Acosta (52')
Powell (50')

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Toronto 3-2 Chicago Fire
Sunday, May 29 at 12am in Major League Soccer
Next Game: NY Red Bulls vs. Toronto
Sunday, June 19 at 12am in Major League Soccer
Last Game: Montreal 4-3 Cincinnati
Sunday, May 29 at 12.30am in Major League Soccer
Next Game: Philadelphia vs. Cincinnati
Sunday, June 19 at 12.30am in Major League Soccer

We said: Toronto 2-1 FC Cincinnati

These teams have played in some crazy back and forth games this month, and while we do not expect as much unpredictability in this encounter, we believe that Toronto will come out on top. The Reds have reacted well this season when faced with adversity, and that resilience could be the difference in this one, even if Vazquez is cleared to play for Cincy. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Toronto win with a probability of 54.32%. A draw had a probability of 23.8% and a win for FC Cincinnati had a probability of 21.87%.

The most likely scoreline for a Toronto win was 1-0 with a probability of 11.32%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (9.75%) and 2-1 (9.75%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (11.32%), while for a FC Cincinnati win it was 0-1 (6.58%). The actual scoreline of 1-2 was predicted with a 5.7% likelihood.

Result
TorontoDrawFC Cincinnati
54.32%23.81%21.87%
Both teams to score 51.89%
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
51.15%48.85%
Over 3.5Under 3.5
29.05%70.94%
Toronto Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
82.12%17.88%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
51.34%48.66%
FC Cincinnati Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
63.19%36.8%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
26.4%73.59%
Score Analysis
    Toronto 54.31%
    FC Cincinnati 21.87%
    Draw 23.81%
TorontoDrawFC Cincinnati
1-0 @ 11.32%
2-0 @ 9.75%
2-1 @ 9.75%
3-0 @ 5.6%
3-1 @ 5.59%
3-2 @ 2.8%
4-0 @ 2.41%
4-1 @ 2.41%
4-2 @ 1.2%
Other @ 3.49%
Total : 54.31%
1-1 @ 11.32%
0-0 @ 6.58%
2-2 @ 4.87%
3-3 @ 0.93%
Other @ 0.11%
Total : 23.81%
0-1 @ 6.58%
1-2 @ 5.66%
0-2 @ 3.29%
1-3 @ 1.89%
2-3 @ 1.62%
0-3 @ 1.1%
Other @ 1.74%
Total : 21.87%

Read more!
Read more!
Form Guide
Last Game: NY City 5-4 Toronto
Sunday, April 24 at 10pm in Major League Soccer
Last Game: Toronto 2-1 Philadelphia
Sunday, April 17 at 12.30am in Major League Soccer
Last Game: Salt Lake 2-2 Toronto
Sunday, April 10 at 1am in Major League Soccer
Last Game: Toronto 2-1 NY City
Saturday, April 2 at 9pm in Major League Soccer
Last Game: Toronto 2-1 DC United
Saturday, March 19 at 7pm in Major League Soccer
Last Game: Columbus Crew 2-1 Toronto
Saturday, March 12 at 6.30pm in Major League Soccer
Last Game: Cincinnati 1-2 Los Angeles
Sunday, April 24 at 10pm in Major League Soccer
Last Game: Atlanta 0-0 Cincinnati
Saturday, April 16 at 11pm in Major League Soccer
Last Game: Cincinnati 3-4 Montreal
Saturday, April 2 at 9pm in Major League Soccer
Last Game: Charlotte FC 2-0 Cincinnati
Saturday, March 26 at 9pm in Major League Soccer
Last Game: Cincinnati 3-1 Inter Miami
Saturday, March 19 at 5pm in Major League Soccer
Last Game: Orlando City 1-2 Cincinnati
Sunday, March 13 at 12.30am in Major League Soccer

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