Orlando City have put together a fine run of form in the league but will expect a sterner challenge against a rampant Cincinnati side. The Orange and Blue have made their home turf a fortress this season and it is difficult seeing Pareja's side leaving the TQL Stadium with anything this weekend.
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a FC Cincinnati win with a probability of 58.35%. A draw had a probability of 22.9% and a win for Orlando City had a probability of 18.71%.
The most likely scoreline for a FC Cincinnati win was 1-0 with a probability of 12.01%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (10.8%) and 2-1 (9.8%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (10.9%), while for a Orlando City win it was 0-1 (6.07%). The actual scoreline of 0-1 was predicted with a 6.1% likelihood.
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