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OC
Major League Soccer
Mar 5, 2023 at 12.30am UK
Orlando City Stadium
FC

Orlando City
0 - 0
Cincinnati


Cartagena (27')
FT

Santos (90+1')

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Cincinnati 2-1 Houston
Sunday, February 26 at 12.30am in Major League Soccer

We said: Orlando City 2-2 FC Cincinnati

Saturday's match should be a closely-fought encounter between two teams of similar standing. Orlando's terrific home form and Cincinnati's momentum from last season suggest that a high-scoring draw is a likely outcome.

How to watch

You can watch Orlando City vs. FC Cincinnati and every MLS match this season live on Apple TV. Click here for more details on how to subscribe. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Orlando City win with a probability of 54.64%. A win for FC Cincinnati had a probability of 23.03% and a draw had a probability of 22.3%.

The most likely scoreline for a Orlando City win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.82%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (8.92%) and 2-0 (8.47%). The likeliest FC Cincinnati win was 1-2 (5.99%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (10.34%). The actual scoreline of 0-0 was predicted with a 4.7% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted a draw in this match.

Result
Orlando CityDrawFC Cincinnati
54.64% (-0.047000000000004 -0.05) 22.33% (0.070999999999998 0.07) 23.03% (-0.029 -0.03)
Both teams to score 58.34% (-0.284 -0.28)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
58.96% (-0.36 -0.36)41.04% (0.355 0.36)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
36.57% (-0.367 -0.37)63.43% (0.36199999999999 0.36)
Orlando City Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
85.03% (-0.14200000000001 -0.14)14.97% (0.137 0.14)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
56.6% (-0.265 -0.27)43.4% (0.259 0.26)
FC Cincinnati Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
68.61% (-0.224 -0.22)31.39% (0.219 0.22)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
32.24% (-0.259 -0.26)67.76% (0.254 0.25)
Score Analysis
    Orlando City 54.64%
    FC Cincinnati 23.03%
    Draw 22.33%
Orlando CityDrawFC Cincinnati
2-1 @ 9.82% (0.0050000000000008 0.01)
1-0 @ 8.92% (0.101 0.1)
2-0 @ 8.47% (0.055000000000001 0.06)
3-1 @ 6.22% (-0.027 -0.03)
3-0 @ 5.36% (0.0089999999999995 0.01)
3-2 @ 3.6% (-0.038 -0.04)
4-1 @ 2.95% (-0.027 -0.03)
4-0 @ 2.55% (-0.008 -0.01)
4-2 @ 1.71% (-0.026 -0.03)
5-1 @ 1.12% (-0.016 -0.02)
5-0 @ 0.97% (-0.008 -0.01)
Other @ 2.95%
Total : 54.64%
1-1 @ 10.34% (0.06 0.06)
2-2 @ 5.69% (-0.031 -0.03)
0-0 @ 4.7% (0.076 0.08)
3-3 @ 1.39% (-0.023 -0.02)
Other @ 0.21%
Total : 22.33%
1-2 @ 5.99% (-0.0040000000000004 -0)
0-1 @ 5.45% (0.055000000000001 0.06)
0-2 @ 3.16% (0.013 0.01)
1-3 @ 2.31% (-0.016 -0.02)
2-3 @ 2.2% (-0.026 -0.03)
0-3 @ 1.22% (-0.0030000000000001 -0)
Other @ 2.71%
Total : 23.03%

Read more!
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Form Guide
Last Game: Orlando City 1-0 NY Red Bulls
Sunday, February 26 at 12.30am in Major League Soccer
Last Game: Montreal 2-0 Orlando City
Monday, October 17 at 1am in MLS Playoffs
Last Game: Orlando City 2-1 Columbus Crew
Sunday, October 9 at 7.30pm in Major League Soccer
Last Game: Inter Miami 4-1 Orlando City
Thursday, October 6 at 1am in Major League Soccer
Last Game: NY City 2-1 Orlando City
Sunday, October 2 at 6pm in Major League Soccer
Last Game: Orlando City 4-0 Toronto
Sunday, September 18 at 12.30am in Major League Soccer
Last Game: Cincinnati 2-1 Houston
Sunday, February 26 at 12.30am in Major League Soccer
Last Game: Philadelphia 1-0 Cincinnati
Friday, October 21 at 1am in MLS Playoffs
Last Game: NY Red Bulls 1-2 Cincinnati
Saturday, October 15 at 5pm in MLS Playoffs
Last Game: DC United 2-5 Cincinnati
Sunday, October 9 at 7.30pm in Major League Soccer
Last Game: Cincinnati 2-3 Chicago Fire
Sunday, October 2 at 12.30am in Major League Soccer
Last Game: Seattle 1-1 Cincinnati
Wednesday, September 28 at 3am in Major League Soccer


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