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Major League Soccer
May 5, 2024 at 12.30am UK
Exploria Stadium
FC

Orlando City
0 - 1
Cincinnati


Araujo (30'), Jansson (62'), Murphy (64'), Halliday (90+1')
Schlegel (23')
FT(HT: 0-1)
Acosta (1')
Halsey (55'), Cartagena (56'), Halliday (66'), Valenzuela (90')
Halsey (78')

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Orlando City 1-2 Toronto
Sunday, April 28 at 12.30am in Major League Soccer
Last Game: Cincinnati 2-1 Colorado
Sunday, April 28 at 12.30am in Major League Soccer

We said: Orlando City 1-0 FC Cincinnati

Goals have been hard to come by in this fixture, and we expect another drab affair this weekend. That said, we can also see the home side coming out on top at the sound of the final whistle. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Orlando City win with a probability of 47.78%. A win for FC Cincinnati had a probability of 28.12% and a draw had a probability of 24.1%.

The most likely scoreline for a Orlando City win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.44%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (9.19%) and 2-0 (7.69%). The likeliest FC Cincinnati win was 1-2 (6.94%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.29%). The actual scoreline of 0-1 was predicted with a 6.8% likelihood.

Result
Orlando CityDrawFC Cincinnati
47.78% (-1.087 -1.09) 24.1% (0.050000000000001 0.05) 28.12% (1.033 1.03)
Both teams to score 57.45% (0.657 0.66)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
55.43% (0.488 0.49)44.56% (-0.491 -0.49)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
33.07% (0.47300000000001 0.47)66.93% (-0.476 -0.48)
Orlando City Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
81.22% (-0.24299999999999 -0.24)18.77% (0.24 0.24)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
49.82% (-0.409 -0.41)50.18% (0.40499999999999 0.4)
FC Cincinnati Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
70.73% (1.015 1.02)29.26% (-1.019 -1.02)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
34.78% (1.231 1.23)65.22% (-1.233 -1.23)
Score Analysis
    Orlando City 47.78%
    FC Cincinnati 28.12%
    Draw 24.1%
Orlando CityDrawFC Cincinnati
2-1 @ 9.44% (-0.081 -0.08)
1-0 @ 9.19% (-0.269 -0.27)
2-0 @ 7.69% (-0.287 -0.29)
3-1 @ 5.27% (-0.086 -0.09)
3-0 @ 4.29% (-0.195 -0.2)
3-2 @ 3.24% (0.038 0.04)
4-1 @ 2.2% (-0.053 -0.05)
4-0 @ 1.79% (-0.096 -0.1)
4-2 @ 1.35% (0.006 0.01)
Other @ 3.32%
Total : 47.78%
1-1 @ 11.29% (-0.010000000000002 -0.01)
2-2 @ 5.8% (0.114 0.11)
0-0 @ 5.49% (-0.118 -0.12)
3-3 @ 1.33% (0.052 0.05)
Other @ 0.19%
Total : 24.1%
1-2 @ 6.94% (0.188 0.19)
0-1 @ 6.75% (0.047000000000001 0.05)
0-2 @ 4.15% (0.143 0.14)
1-3 @ 2.84% (0.154 0.15)
2-3 @ 2.38% (0.111 0.11)
0-3 @ 1.7% (0.104 0.1)
Other @ 3.37%
Total : 28.12%

Read more!
Read more!
Form Guide
Last Game: Orlando City 1-2 Toronto
Sunday, April 28 at 12.30am in Major League Soccer
Last Game: Montreal 2-2 Orlando City
Sunday, April 21 at 12.30am in Major League Soccer
Last Game: DC United 2-3 Orlando City
Sunday, April 14 at 12.30am in Major League Soccer
Last Game: Orlando City 1-1 NY Red Bulls
Saturday, March 30 at 11.30pm in Major League Soccer
Last Game: Orlando City 2-0 Austin
Saturday, March 23 at 11.30pm in Major League Soccer
Last Game: Atlanta 2-0 Orlando City
Sunday, March 17 at 11.15pm in Major League Soccer
Last Game: Cincinnati 2-1 Colorado
Sunday, April 28 at 12.30am in Major League Soccer
Last Game: Atlanta 1-2 Cincinnati
Sunday, April 21 at 12.30am in Major League Soccer
Last Game: Montreal 2-1 Cincinnati
Sunday, April 14 at 12.30am in Major League Soccer
Last Game: Cincinnati 1-2 NY Red Bulls
Sunday, April 7 at 12.30am in Major League Soccer
Last Game: Charlotte FC 1-1 Cincinnati
Saturday, March 30 at 11.30pm in Major League Soccer
Last Game: Cincinnati 1-0 NY City
Saturday, March 23 at 11.30pm in Major League Soccer


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