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VW
Major League Soccer
Jul 3, 2022 at 3am UK
Empire Field
LA
Vancouver
1 - 0
Los Angeles
Cubas (89')
Cavallini (27'), Gauld (55')
FT(HT: 0-0)

Murillo (39'), Fall (88')

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Los Angeles 3-1 Dallas
Thursday, June 30 at 3.30am in Major League Soccer

We said: Vancouver Whitecaps 2-2 Los Angeles FC

Desperation can be a massive X-factor that many do not consider, and even though LA, on paper, have a lot more depth than Vancouver, they may be a little more passive than we anticipate, given their standing. Even without Bale in the fold, the Black and Gold have many weapons, and it is a big ask for anyone to shut them out over 90 minutes. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Los Angeles FC win with a probability of 41.94%. A win for Vancouver Whitecaps had a probability of 33.21% and a draw had a probability of 24.8%.

The most likely scoreline for a Los Angeles FC win was 1-2 with a probability of 8.9%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-1 (8.75%) and 0-2 (6.68%). The likeliest Vancouver Whitecaps win was 2-1 (7.77%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.66%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with a 7.6% likelihood.

Result
Vancouver WhitecapsDrawLos Angeles FC
33.21% (0.020000000000003 0.02) 24.85% (0.149 0.15) 41.94% (-0.169 -0.17)
Both teams to score 57.62% (-0.515 -0.52)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
54.45% (-0.675 -0.67)45.55% (0.677 0.68)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
32.13% (-0.646 -0.65)67.87% (0.648 0.65)
Vancouver Whitecaps Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
73.62% (-0.31 -0.31)26.39% (0.313 0.31)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
38.46% (-0.417 -0.42)61.54% (0.418 0.42)
Los Angeles FC Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
78.28% (-0.364 -0.36)21.72% (0.367 0.37)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
45.11% (-0.563 -0.56)54.89% (0.564 0.56)
Score Analysis
    Vancouver Whitecaps 33.21%
    Los Angeles FC 41.94%
    Draw 24.85%
Vancouver WhitecapsDrawLos Angeles FC
2-1 @ 7.77%
1-0 @ 7.64% (0.152 0.15)
2-0 @ 5.09% (0.056 0.06)
3-1 @ 3.45% (-0.03 -0.03)
3-2 @ 2.63% (-0.053 -0.05)
3-0 @ 2.26% (0.0049999999999999 0)
4-1 @ 1.15% (-0.021 -0.02)
Other @ 3.23%
Total : 33.21%
1-1 @ 11.66% (0.11 0.11)
2-2 @ 5.93% (-0.066000000000001 -0.07)
0-0 @ 5.73% (0.164 0.16)
3-3 @ 1.34% (-0.043 -0.04)
Other @ 0.19%
Total : 24.85%
1-2 @ 8.9% (-0.019 -0.02)
0-1 @ 8.75% (0.155 0.15)
0-2 @ 6.68% (0.045 0.04)
1-3 @ 4.53% (-0.061 -0.06)
0-3 @ 3.4% (-0.015 -0.02)
2-3 @ 3.02% (-0.068 -0.07)
1-4 @ 1.73% (-0.043 -0.04)
0-4 @ 1.3% (-0.02 -0.02)
2-4 @ 1.15% (-0.039 -0.04)
Other @ 2.48%
Total : 41.94%

Read more!
Read more!
Form Guide
Last Game: Vancouver 0-0 New England
Monday, June 27 at 1am in Major League Soccer
Last Game: Dallas 0-2 Vancouver
Sunday, June 19 at 2am in Major League Soccer
Last Game: Seattle 4-0 Vancouver
Wednesday, June 15 at 3.30am in Major League Soccer
Last Game: Vancouver 2-1 Salt Lake
Sunday, June 5 at 12am in Major League Soccer
Last Game: Kansas 0-1 Vancouver
Sunday, May 29 at 2am in Major League Soccer
Last Game: Charlotte FC 2-1 Vancouver
Sunday, May 22 at 10pm in Major League Soccer
Last Game: Los Angeles 3-1 Dallas
Thursday, June 30 at 3.30am in Major League Soccer
Last Game: Los Angeles 2-0 NY Red Bulls
Sunday, June 26 at 8pm in Major League Soccer
Last Game: Seattle 1-1 Los Angeles
Saturday, June 18 at 8pm in Major League Soccer
Last Game: Los Angeles 3-2 Earthquakes
Saturday, May 28 at 11pm in Major League Soccer
Last Game: Columbus Crew 0-2 Los Angeles
Saturday, May 21 at 11.30pm in Major League Soccer
Last Game: Los Angeles 1-2 Austin
Thursday, May 19 at 3.30am in Major League Soccer

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