Major League Soccer

Jul 3, 2022 at 3am UK

Empire Field

Vancouver
1 - 0
Los Angeles

Cubas (89')
Cavallini (27'), Gauld (55')

FT(HT: 0-0)

Murillo (39'), Fall (88')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Sunday's Major League Soccer clash between Vancouver Whitecaps and Los Angeles FC, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

We said: Vancouver Whitecaps 2-2 Los Angeles FC

Desperation can be a massive X-factor that many do not consider, and even though LA, on paper, have a lot more depth than Vancouver, they may be a little more passive than we anticipate, given their standing. Even without Bale in the fold, the Black and Gold have many weapons, and it is a big ask for anyone to shut them out over 90 minutes. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Los Angeles FC win with a probability of 41.94%. A win for Vancouver Whitecaps had a probability of 33.21% and a draw had a probability of 24.8%.

The most likely scoreline for a Los Angeles FC win was 1-2 with a probability of 8.9%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-1 (8.75%) and 0-2 (6.68%). The likeliest Vancouver Whitecaps win was 2-1 (7.77%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.66%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with a 7.6% likelihood.

Result
Vancouver Whitecaps	Draw	Los Angeles FC
33.21% ( 0.02)	24.85% ( 0.15)	41.94% ( -0.17)

Both teams to score 57.62% (

-0.52)

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

54.45% (

-0.67)

45.55% (

0.68)

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

32.13% (

-0.65)

67.87% (

0.65)

Vancouver Whitecaps Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

73.62% (

-0.31)

26.39% (

0.31)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

38.46% (

-0.42)

61.54% (

0.42)

Los Angeles FC Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

78.28% (

-0.36)

21.72% (

0.37)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

45.11% (

-0.56)

54.89% (

0.56)

Score Analysis

Vancouver Whitecaps 33.21%

Los Angeles FC 41.94%

Draw 24.85%

Vancouver Whitecaps	Draw	Los Angeles FC
2-1 @ 7.77% 1-0 @ 7.64% ( 0.15) 2-0 @ 5.09% ( 0.06) 3-1 @ 3.45% ( -0.03) 3-2 @ 2.63% ( -0.05) 3-0 @ 2.26% ( 0) 4-1 @ 1.15% ( -0.02) Other @ 3.23% Total : 33.21%	1-1 @ 11.66% ( 0.11) 2-2 @ 5.93% ( -0.07) 0-0 @ 5.73% ( 0.16) 3-3 @ 1.34% ( -0.04) Other @ 0.19% Total : 24.85%	1-2 @ 8.9% ( -0.02) 0-1 @ 8.75% ( 0.15) 0-2 @ 6.68% ( 0.04) 1-3 @ 4.53% ( -0.06) 0-3 @ 3.4% ( -0.02) 2-3 @ 3.02% ( -0.07) 1-4 @ 1.73% ( -0.04) 0-4 @ 1.3% ( -0.02) 2-4 @ 1.15% ( -0.04) Other @ 2.48% Total : 41.94%