Major League Soccer

Aug 27, 2022 at 8.30pm UK

National Sports Center

Minnesota Utd
2 - 1
Houston

Picault (79' og.), Amarilla (84')
Reynoso (43')

FT(HT: 0-1)

Baird (45+1')
Carrasquilla (37'), Steres (63'), Parker (78')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Saturday's Major League Soccer clash between Minnesota United and Houston Dynamo, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

We said: Minnesota United 3-0 Houston Dynamo

Houston Dynamo have got a lot to play for right now considering their league position, and after securing a draw in their most recent match they will be set to push their opponents in this one. However, Minnesota have been one of the strongest teams in the MLS this season, and that is something that should lead to them securing a comfortable victory. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Minnesota United win with a probability of 55.32%. A draw had a probability of 22.9% and a win for Houston Dynamo had a probability of 21.74%.

The most likely scoreline for a Minnesota United win was 1-0 with a probability of 10.29%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.86%) and 2-0 (9.37%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (10.83%), while for a Houston Dynamo win it was 0-1 (5.96%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with a 9.9% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Minnesota United would win this match.

Result
Minnesota United	Draw	Houston Dynamo
55.32% ( -0.23)	22.94% ( 0.05)	21.74% ( 0.18)

Both teams to score 54.54% (

0.09)

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

54.74% (

-0.01)

45.26% (

0.01)

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

32.4% (

-0.01)

67.6% (

0.01)

Minnesota United Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

83.78% (

-0.08)

16.22% (

0.08)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

54.28% (

-0.15)

45.72% (

0.15)

Houston Dynamo Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

65.1% (

0.16)

34.91% (

-0.16)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

28.35% (

0.17)

71.65% (

-0.17)

Score Analysis

Minnesota United 55.31%

Houston Dynamo 21.74%

Draw 22.93%

Minnesota United	Draw	Houston Dynamo
1-0 @ 10.29% ( -0.03) 2-1 @ 9.86% ( -0.01) 2-0 @ 9.37% ( -0.05) 3-1 @ 5.98% ( -0.02) 3-0 @ 5.68% ( -0.04) 3-2 @ 3.15% ( 0) 4-1 @ 2.72% ( -0.02) 4-0 @ 2.58% ( -0.03) 4-2 @ 1.43% ( -0) 5-1 @ 0.99% ( -0.01) 5-0 @ 0.94% ( -0.01) Other @ 2.34% Total : 55.31%	1-1 @ 10.83% ( 0.02) 0-0 @ 5.66% ( 0) 2-2 @ 5.19% ( 0.02) 3-3 @ 1.1% ( 0) Other @ 0.14% Total : 22.93%	0-1 @ 5.96% ( 0.03) 1-2 @ 5.7% ( 0.04) 0-2 @ 3.14% ( 0.03) 1-3 @ 2% ( 0.02) 2-3 @ 1.82% ( 0.02) 0-3 @ 1.1% ( 0.02) Other @ 2.02% Total : 21.74%