SM
| Current League Standings | P | GD | PTS | |
| 7 | New England Revolution | 11 | -2 | 12 |
| 8 | Sporting Kansas City | 13 | -8 | 12 |
| 9 | Chicago Fire | 12 | -5 | 11 |
| Current League Standings | P | GD | PTS | |
| 3 | CF Montreal | 12 | 4 | 20 |
| 4 | Houston Dynamo | 12 | 0 | 15 |
| 5 | Columbus Crew | 11 | 2 | 13 |
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Sporting Kansas City win with a probability of 58.28%. A draw had a probability of 22% and a win for Houston Dynamo had a probability of 19.71%.
The most likely scoreline for a Sporting Kansas City win was 1-0 with a probability of 10.17%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.94%) and 2-0 (9.75%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (10.37%), while for a Houston Dynamo win it was 0-1 (5.42%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with a 10.2% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 1-0 win for Sporting Kansas City in this match.
| Result | ||
| Sporting Kansas City | Draw | Houston Dynamo |
| 58.28% | 22% | 19.71% |
| Both teams to score 54.5% |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 56.2% | 43.79% |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 33.81% | 66.18% |
| Sporting Kansas City Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 85.27% | 14.72% |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 57.06% | 42.93% |
| Houston Dynamo Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 63.91% | 36.08% |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 27.13% | 72.86% |
| Score Analysis |
| Sporting Kansas City | Draw | Houston Dynamo |
| 1-0 @ 10.17% 2-1 @ 9.94% 2-0 @ 9.75% 3-1 @ 6.35% 3-0 @ 6.23% 3-2 @ 3.23% 4-1 @ 3.04% 4-0 @ 2.98% 4-2 @ 1.55% 5-1 @ 1.16% 5-0 @ 1.14% Other @ 2.74% Total : 58.27% | 1-1 @ 10.37% 0-0 @ 5.31% 2-2 @ 5.07% 3-3 @ 1.1% Other @ 0.15% Total : 21.99% | 0-1 @ 5.42% 1-2 @ 5.29% 0-2 @ 2.76% 1-3 @ 1.8% 2-3 @ 1.72% 0-3 @ 0.94% Other @ 1.79% Total : 19.71% |
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