Houston have looked incredibly shaky in recent matches, and while things can change quickly, the Fire appear very determined in this competition and we believe their attacking pieces and the home crowd will be too much for the visitors to handle.
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Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Chicago Fire win with a probability of 50.43%. A draw had a probability of 25.3% and a win for Houston Dynamo had a probability of 24.26%.
The most likely scoreline for a Chicago Fire win was 1-0 with a probability of 11.97%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.43%) and 2-0 (9.39%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (12.02%), while for a Houston Dynamo win it was 0-1 (7.67%). The actual scoreline of 1-4 was predicted with a 0.5% likelihood.
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