SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Sporting Kansas City win with a probability of 65.59%. A draw had a probability of 20.2% and a win for Austin FC had a probability of 14.25%.
The most likely scoreline for a Sporting Kansas City win was 2-0 with a probability of 11.82%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (11.58%) and 2-1 (9.79%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (9.59%), while for an Austin FC win it was 0-1 (4.7%). The actual scoreline of 4-1 was predicted with a 3.4% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Sporting Kansas City would win this match.
| Result | ||
| Sporting Kansas City | Draw | Austin FC |
65.59% ( -0.23) | 20.16% ( 0.13) | 14.25% ( 0.1) |
| Both teams to score 48.99% ( -0.16) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 54.68% ( -0.35) | 45.32% ( 0.35) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 32.34% ( -0.33) | 67.66% ( 0.33) |
| Sporting Kansas City Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 87.01% ( -0.17) | 12.99% ( 0.17) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
| 60.5% ( -0.35) | 39.5% ( 0.35) |
| Austin FC Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 56.3% ( -0.07) | 43.7% ( 0.07) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
| 20.12% ( -0.06) | 79.88% ( 0.06) |
| Score Analysis |
| Sporting Kansas City | Draw | Austin FC |
| 2-0 @ 11.82% ( 0.02) 1-0 @ 11.58% ( 0.1)2-1 @ 9.79% 3-0 @ 8.04% ( -0.04)3-1 @ 6.66% ( -0.04)4-0 @ 4.11% ( -0.05)4-1 @ 3.4% ( -0.04)3-2 @ 2.76% ( -0.02)5-0 @ 1.68% ( -0.03)4-2 @ 1.41% ( -0.02)5-1 @ 1.39% ( -0.03)Other @ 2.96% Total : 65.58% | 1-1 @ 9.59% ( 0.06) 0-0 @ 5.68% ( 0.08)2-2 @ 4.05% ( -0.01)Other @ 0.85% Total : 20.16% | 0-1 @ 4.7% ( 0.06) 1-2 @ 3.97% ( 0.02)0-2 @ 1.95% ( 0.02)2-3 @ 1.12% ( -0)1-3 @ 1.1% ( 0)Other @ 1.42% Total : 14.25% |
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