SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Real Salt Lake win with a probability of 55.75%. A draw had a probability of 22.4% and a win for Sporting Kansas City had a probability of 21.85%.
The most likely scoreline for a Real Salt Lake win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.88%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (9.55%) and 2-0 (9%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (10.48%), while for a Sporting Kansas City win it was 1-2 (5.75%). The actual scoreline of 2-3 was predicted with a 2% likelihood.
| Result | ||
| Real Salt Lake | Draw | Sporting Kansas City |
55.75% ( 0.59) | 22.39% ( -0.21) | 21.85% ( -0.38) |
| Both teams to score 56.51% ( 0.17) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 57.28% ( 0.47) | 42.71% ( -0.48) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 34.88% ( 0.47) | 65.11% ( -0.48) |
| Real Salt Lake Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 84.81% ( 0.36) | 15.18% ( -0.36) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 56.19% ( 0.68) | 43.8% ( -0.68) |
| Sporting Kansas City Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 66.62% ( -0.09) | 33.37% ( 0.08) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 30% ( -0.09) | 69.99% ( 0.09) |
| Score Analysis |
| Real Salt Lake | Draw | Sporting Kansas City |
| 2-1 @ 9.88% ( 0.02) 1-0 @ 9.55% ( -0.08)2-0 @ 9% ( 0.04)3-1 @ 6.21% ( 0.09)3-0 @ 5.66% ( 0.09)3-2 @ 3.41% ( 0.04)4-1 @ 2.93% ( 0.08)4-0 @ 2.67% ( 0.08)4-2 @ 1.61% ( 0.04)5-1 @ 1.1% ( 0.04)5-0 @ 1.01% ( 0.04)Other @ 2.75% Total : 55.75% | 1-1 @ 10.48% ( -0.11) 2-2 @ 5.42% ( -0)0-0 @ 5.07% ( -0.11)3-3 @ 1.25% ( 0.01)Other @ 0.18% Total : 22.39% | 1-2 @ 5.75% ( -0.08) 0-1 @ 5.56% ( -0.13)0-2 @ 3.05% ( -0.08)1-3 @ 2.11% ( -0.03)2-3 @ 1.98% ( -0.01)0-3 @ 1.12% ( -0.03)Other @ 2.28% Total : 21.85% |
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