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Major League Soccer
Jun 30, 2022 at 3.30am UK
The Home Depot Center
MU

LA Galaxy
2 - 3
Minnesota Utd

Delgado (60' pen.), Joveljic (90+3')
Williams (70')
Cabral (25'), Costa (90+5')
FT(HT: 0-3)
Reynoso (9', 43'), Fragapane (36')
Boxall (20'), Fragapane (41'), Trapp (85'), Rosales (90+4')

Form, Standings, Stats

We said: Los Angeles Galaxy 2-2 Minnesota United

Although Minnesota are currently struggling to pick up points, they have fared well in recent meetings with Wednesday's opponents. Having avoided defeat in their last three matches with La Galaxy, we think that Minnesota will continue that run by holding their hosts to a draw. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Los Angeles Galaxy win with a probability of 53.07%. A draw had a probability of 23.5% and a win for Minnesota United had a probability of 23.42%.

The most likely scoreline for a Los Angeles Galaxy win was 1-0 with a probability of 10.21%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.76%) and 2-0 (8.98%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (11.11%), while for a Minnesota United win it was 0-1 (6.32%). The actual scoreline of 2-3 was predicted with a 1.9% likelihood.

Result
Los Angeles GalaxyDrawMinnesota United
53.07% (-0.139 -0.14) 23.51% (-0.0070000000000014 -0.01) 23.42% (0.145 0.15)
Both teams to score 54.86% (0.193 0.19)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
54.12% (0.17299999999999 0.17)45.88% (-0.175 -0.18)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
31.81% (0.164 0.16)68.19% (-0.167 -0.17)
Los Angeles Galaxy Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
82.76% (0.010999999999996 0.01)17.24% (-0.013000000000002 -0.01)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
52.45% (0.023000000000003 0.02)47.55% (-0.025000000000006 -0.03)
Minnesota United Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
66.29% (0.22199999999999 0.22)33.71% (-0.225 -0.23)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
29.64% (0.243 0.24)70.36% (-0.245 -0.25)
Score Analysis
    Los Angeles Galaxy 53.06%
    Minnesota United 23.42%
    Draw 23.51%
Los Angeles GalaxyDrawMinnesota United
1-0 @ 10.21% (-0.069999999999999 -0.07)
2-1 @ 9.76% (-0.0040000000000013 -0)
2-0 @ 8.98% (-0.059000000000001 -0.06)
3-1 @ 5.72%
3-0 @ 5.26% (-0.032 -0.03)
3-2 @ 3.11% (0.02 0.02)
4-1 @ 2.51% (0.00099999999999989 0)
4-0 @ 2.31% (-0.013 -0.01)
4-2 @ 1.37% (0.0089999999999999 0.01)
Other @ 3.83%
Total : 53.06%
1-1 @ 11.11% (-0.0099999999999998 -0.01)
0-0 @ 5.81% (-0.044 -0.04)
2-2 @ 5.31% (0.03 0.03)
3-3 @ 1.13% (0.014 0.01)
Other @ 0.15%
Total : 23.51%
0-1 @ 6.32% (-0.008 -0.01)
1-2 @ 6.04% (0.032 0.03)
0-2 @ 3.44% (0.017 0.02)
1-3 @ 2.19% (0.025 0.02)
2-3 @ 1.92% (0.022 0.02)
0-3 @ 1.25% (0.014 0.01)
Other @ 2.27%
Total : 23.42%

Read more!
Read more!
Form Guide
Last Game: LA Galaxy 1-1 Portland
Saturday, June 18 at 10pm in Major League Soccer
Last Game: LA Galaxy 4-1 Austin
Sunday, May 29 at 11pm in Major League Soccer
Last Game: LA Galaxy 0-3 Houston
Monday, May 23 at 1am in Major League Soccer
Last Game: Minnesota Utd 1-1 LA Galaxy
Thursday, May 19 at 1am in Major League Soccer
Last Game: LA Galaxy 1-3 Dallas
Sunday, May 15 at 3.30am in Major League Soccer
Last Game: Austin 0-1 LA Galaxy
Monday, May 9 at 12.35am in Major League Soccer
Last Game: Inter Miami 2-1 Minnesota Utd
Sunday, June 26 at 1am in Major League Soccer
Last Game: New England 2-1 Minnesota Utd
Sunday, June 19 at 10pm in Major League Soccer
Last Game: Minnesota Utd 0-1 NY City
Sunday, May 29 at 1am in Major League Soccer
Last Game: Dallas 1-2 Minnesota Utd
Monday, May 23 at 12am in Major League Soccer
Last Game: Minnesota Utd 1-1 LA Galaxy
Thursday, May 19 at 1am in Major League Soccer
Last Game: Seattle 3-1 Minnesota Utd
Sunday, May 15 at 9pm in Major League Soccer


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