SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Los Angeles Galaxy win with a probability of 63.47%. A draw had a probability of 19.2% and a win for St Louis City had a probability of 17.33%.
The most likely scoreline for a Los Angeles Galaxy win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.75%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (8.85%) and 1-0 (7.82%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (8.62%), while for a St Louis City win it was 1-2 (4.76%). The actual scoreline of 2-2 was predicted with a 5.4% likelihood.
| Result | ||
| Los Angeles Galaxy | Draw | St Louis City |
63.47% ( -0.74) | 19.21% ( 0.35) | 17.33% ( 0.4) |
| Both teams to score 59.84% ( -0.45) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 65.34% ( -0.96) | 34.66% ( 0.96) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 43.39% ( -1.09) | 56.61% ( 1.09) |
| Los Angeles Galaxy Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 89.58% ( -0.45) | 10.42% ( 0.46) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 66.02% ( -1.05) | 33.97% ( 1.05) |
| St Louis City Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 66.8% ( -0.16) | 33.2% ( 0.16) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 30.19% ( -0.18) | 69.81% ( 0.18) |
| Score Analysis |
| Los Angeles Galaxy | Draw | St Louis City |
| 2-1 @ 9.75% ( 0.06) 2-0 @ 8.85% ( 0.09)1-0 @ 7.82% ( 0.23)3-1 @ 7.35% ( -0.1)3-0 @ 6.67% ( -0.06)4-1 @ 4.16% ( -0.14)3-2 @ 4.05% ( -0.07)4-0 @ 3.77% ( -0.11)4-2 @ 2.29% ( -0.09)5-1 @ 1.88% ( -0.1)5-0 @ 1.71% ( -0.09)5-2 @ 1.04% ( -0.06)Other @ 4.13% Total : 63.47% | 1-1 @ 8.62% ( 0.22) 2-2 @ 5.38% ( 0.01)0-0 @ 3.46% ( 0.17)3-3 @ 1.49% ( -0.03)Other @ 0.26% Total : 19.21% | 1-2 @ 4.76% ( 0.1) 0-1 @ 3.81% ( 0.17)0-2 @ 2.1% ( 0.08)2-3 @ 1.98% ( -0.01)1-3 @ 1.75% ( 0.03)Other @ 2.93% Total : 17.33% |
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