SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Sporting Kansas City win with a probability of 70.66%. A draw had a probability of 17.2% and a win for St Louis City had a probability of 12.18%.
The most likely scoreline for a Sporting Kansas City win was 2-0 with a probability of 10.75%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.56%) and 1-0 (9%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (8%), while for a St Louis City win it was 1-2 (3.56%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with a 9.6% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted a 2-1 win for Sporting Kansas City in this match and our data analysis correctly predicted the win for Sporting Kansas City.
| Result | ||
| Sporting Kansas City | Draw | St Louis City |
70.66% ( 0.99) | 17.16% ( -0.47) | 12.18% ( -0.51) |
| Both teams to score 53.51% ( 0.1) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 63.65% ( 0.93) | 36.35% ( -0.92) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 41.52% ( 1.01) | 58.48% ( -1) |
| Sporting Kansas City Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 90.85% ( 0.48) | 9.16% ( -0.47) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 68.96% ( 1.12) | 31.04% ( -1.11) |
| St Louis City Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 58.9% ( -0.19) | 41.1% ( 0.2) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 22.35% ( -0.17) | 77.65% ( 0.18) |
| Score Analysis |
| Sporting Kansas City | Draw | St Louis City |
| 2-0 @ 10.75% ( -0.03) 2-1 @ 9.56% ( -0.08)1-0 @ 9% ( -0.22)3-0 @ 8.57% ( 0.16)3-1 @ 7.62% ( 0.1)4-0 @ 5.12% ( 0.2)4-1 @ 4.56% ( 0.15)3-2 @ 3.39% ( 0.02)5-0 @ 2.45% ( 0.14)5-1 @ 2.18% ( 0.12)4-2 @ 2.03% ( 0.06)6-0 @ 0.98% ( 0.08)5-2 @ 0.97% ( 0.05)Other @ 3.49% Total : 70.65% | 1-1 @ 8% ( -0.24) 2-2 @ 4.25% ( -0.06)0-0 @ 3.76% ( -0.17)3-3 @ 1% ( 0)Other @ 0.15% Total : 17.16% | 1-2 @ 3.56% ( -0.13) 0-1 @ 3.35% ( -0.17)0-2 @ 1.49% ( -0.09)2-3 @ 1.26% ( -0.02)1-3 @ 1.05% ( -0.04)Other @ 1.48% Total : 12.18% |
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