Exacting revenge for a three-goal defeat in March, San Jose can continue their unbeaten streak at home by beating an ailing St Louis side. The visitors are suffering a worrying dip in form, and due to a worsening defensive record their slip down the standings could continue.
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a San Jose Earthquakes win with a probability of 62.75%. A draw had a probability of 20.1% and a win for St Louis City had a probability of 17.13%.
The most likely scoreline for a San Jose Earthquakes win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.92%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (9.81%) and 1-0 (9.25%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (9.36%), while for a St Louis City win it was 1-2 (4.74%). The actual scoreline of 1-2 was predicted with a 4.7% likelihood.
-0) 
0) 
