SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Toronto win with a probability of 53.18%. A win for St Louis City had a probability of 23.98% and a draw had a probability of 22.8%.
The most likely scoreline for a Toronto win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.77%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (9.15%) and 2-0 (8.41%). The likeliest St Louis City win was 1-2 (6.18%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (10.63%). The actual scoreline of 0-1 was predicted with a 5.8% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted that St Louis City would win this match.
| Result | ||
| Toronto | Draw | St Louis City |
53.18% ( -0.13) | 22.84% ( 0.06) | 23.98% ( 0.07) |
| Both teams to score 57.77% ( -0.11) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 57.67% ( -0.19) | 42.33% ( 0.19) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 35.27% ( -0.19) | 64.73% ( 0.19) |
| Toronto Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 84.08% ( -0.11) | 15.92% ( 0.11) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 54.83% ( -0.21) | 45.17% ( 0.21) |
| St Louis City Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 68.71% ( -0.04) | 31.29% ( 0.04) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 32.35% ( -0.05) | 67.65% ( 0.05) |
| Score Analysis |
| Toronto | Draw | St Louis City |
| 2-1 @ 9.77% ( -0) 1-0 @ 9.15% ( 0.04)2-0 @ 8.41% ( 0.01)3-1 @ 5.99% ( -0.03)3-0 @ 5.15% ( -0.02)3-2 @ 3.48% ( -0.02)4-1 @ 2.75% ( -0.02)4-0 @ 2.37% ( -0.02)4-2 @ 1.6% ( -0.01)5-1 @ 1.01% ( -0.01)Other @ 3.51% Total : 53.18% | 1-1 @ 10.63% ( 0.04) 2-2 @ 5.68% ( -0.01)0-0 @ 4.98% ( 0.04)3-3 @ 1.35% ( -0.01)Other @ 0.2% Total : 22.83% | 1-2 @ 6.18% ( 0.01) 0-1 @ 5.79% ( 0.04)0-2 @ 3.36% ( 0.02)1-3 @ 2.39% ( 0)2-3 @ 2.2% ( -0.01)0-3 @ 1.3% ( 0.01)Other @ 2.76% Total : 23.98% |
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