Current League Standings | P | GD | PTS | |
6 | Vancouver Whitecaps | 18 | -4 | 22 |
7 | Minnesota United | 17 | -1 | 21 |
8 | Houston Dynamo | 17 | -2 | 21 |
Current League Standings | P | GD | PTS | |
1 | Real Salt Lake | 17 | 1 | 29 |
2 | Dallas | 17 | 7 | 26 |
3 | Seattle Sounders | 17 | 7 | 26 |
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Minnesota United win with a probability of 54.24%. A draw had a probability of 24% and a win for Real Salt Lake had a probability of 21.78%.
The most likely scoreline for a Minnesota United win was 1-0 with a probability of 11.58%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (9.86%) and 2-1 (9.72%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (11.4%), while for a Real Salt Lake win it was 0-1 (6.7%). The actual scoreline of 3-2 was predicted with a 2.7% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Minnesota United would win this match.
Result | ||
Minnesota United | Draw | Real Salt Lake |
54.24% ( 0.39) | 23.98% ( -0.11) | 21.78% ( -0.27) |
Both teams to score 51.25% ( -0.02) |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
50.35% ( 0.16) | 49.65% ( -0.17) |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
28.33% ( 0.15) | 71.67% ( -0.15) |
Minnesota United Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
81.79% ( 0.21) | 18.21% ( -0.21) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
50.77% ( 0.35) | 49.22% ( -0.35) |
Real Salt Lake Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
62.66% ( -0.18) | 37.34% ( 0.18) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
25.87% ( -0.17) | 74.12% ( 0.17) |
Score Analysis |
Minnesota United | Draw | Real Salt Lake |
1-0 @ 11.58% 2-0 @ 9.86% ( 0.07) 2-1 @ 9.72% ( 0.02) 3-0 @ 5.6% ( 0.07) 3-1 @ 5.52% ( 0.05) 3-2 @ 2.72% ( 0.01) 4-0 @ 2.39% ( 0.05) 4-1 @ 2.35% ( 0.04) 4-2 @ 1.16% ( 0.01) Other @ 3.35% Total : 54.23% | 1-1 @ 11.4% ( -0.06) 0-0 @ 6.8% ( -0.05) 2-2 @ 4.79% ( -0.01) Other @ 0.99% Total : 23.98% | 0-1 @ 6.7% ( -0.08) 1-2 @ 5.62% ( -0.05) 0-2 @ 3.3% ( -0.05) 1-3 @ 1.85% ( -0.03) 2-3 @ 1.57% ( -0.01) 0-3 @ 1.08% ( -0.02) Other @ 1.66% Total : 21.78% |
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