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Major League Soccer
Jul 4, 2022 at 1am UK
National Sports Center
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Minnesota Utd
3 - 2
Salt Lake

Reynoso (9', 45+3'), Amarilla (61')
Boxall (15')
FT(HT: 2-0)
Savarino (71'), Julio (76')
Ruiz (33'), Herrera (37'), Brody (89')

Form, Standings, Stats

We said: Minnesota United 2-2 Real Salt Lake

Sunday's game sees two evenly-matched sides go head to head. While the Loons will be looking to end their struggles on home turf, Real Salt Lake have managed just one win in seven away games. We predict the spoils will be shared in this one with both sides settling for a point apiece. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Minnesota United win with a probability of 54.24%. A draw had a probability of 24% and a win for Real Salt Lake had a probability of 21.78%.

The most likely scoreline for a Minnesota United win was 1-0 with a probability of 11.58%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (9.86%) and 2-1 (9.72%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (11.4%), while for a Real Salt Lake win it was 0-1 (6.7%). The actual scoreline of 3-2 was predicted with a 2.7% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Minnesota United would win this match.

Result
Minnesota UnitedDrawReal Salt Lake
54.24% (0.389 0.39) 23.98% (-0.115 -0.11) 21.78% (-0.275 -0.27)
Both teams to score 51.25% (-0.015000000000001 -0.02)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
50.35% (0.164 0.16)49.65% (-0.167 -0.17)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
28.33% (0.147 0.15)71.67% (-0.14999999999999 -0.15)
Minnesota United Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
81.79% (0.206 0.21)18.21% (-0.209 -0.21)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
50.77% (0.353 0.35)49.22% (-0.354 -0.35)
Real Salt Lake Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
62.66% (-0.177 -0.18)37.34% (0.175 0.18)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
25.87% (-0.174 -0.17)74.12% (0.172 0.17)
Score Analysis
    Minnesota United 54.23%
    Real Salt Lake 21.78%
    Draw 23.98%
Minnesota UnitedDrawReal Salt Lake
1-0 @ 11.58%
2-0 @ 9.86% (0.065999999999999 0.07)
2-1 @ 9.72% (0.019 0.02)
3-0 @ 5.6% (0.074999999999999 0.07)
3-1 @ 5.52% (0.048 0.05)
3-2 @ 2.72% (0.011 0.01)
4-0 @ 2.39% (0.048 0.05)
4-1 @ 2.35% (0.036 0.04)
4-2 @ 1.16% (0.012 0.01)
Other @ 3.35%
Total : 54.23%
1-1 @ 11.4% (-0.06 -0.06)
0-0 @ 6.8% (-0.045999999999999 -0.05)
2-2 @ 4.79% (-0.014 -0.01)
Other @ 0.99%
Total : 23.98%
0-1 @ 6.7% (-0.077 -0.08)
1-2 @ 5.62% (-0.054 -0.05)
0-2 @ 3.3% (-0.054 -0.05)
1-3 @ 1.85% (-0.027 -0.03)
2-3 @ 1.57% (-0.012 -0.01)
0-3 @ 1.08% (-0.023 -0.02)
Other @ 1.66%
Total : 21.78%

Read more!
Read more!
Form Guide
Last Game: LA Galaxy 2-3 Minnesota Utd
Thursday, June 30 at 3.30am in Major League Soccer
Last Game: Inter Miami 2-1 Minnesota Utd
Sunday, June 26 at 1am in Major League Soccer
Last Game: New England 2-1 Minnesota Utd
Sunday, June 19 at 10pm in Major League Soccer
Last Game: Minnesota Utd 0-1 NY City
Sunday, May 29 at 1am in Major League Soccer
Last Game: Dallas 1-2 Minnesota Utd
Monday, May 23 at 12am in Major League Soccer
Last Game: Minnesota Utd 1-1 LA Galaxy
Thursday, May 19 at 1am in Major League Soccer
Last Game: Salt Lake 0-0 Columbus Crew
Sunday, June 26 at 3am in Major League Soccer
Last Game: Salt Lake 2-0 Earthquakes
Sunday, June 19 at 2.30am in Major League Soccer
Last Game: Vancouver 2-1 Salt Lake
Sunday, June 5 at 12am in Major League Soccer
Last Game: Salt Lake 3-0 Houston
Sunday, May 29 at 2.30am in Major League Soccer
Last Game: Montreal 1-2 Salt Lake
Sunday, May 22 at 9pm in Major League Soccer
Last Game: Salt Lake 2-1 Austin
Sunday, May 15 at 2.30am in Major League Soccer


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