Current League Standings | P | GD | PTS | |
1 | Philadelphia Union | 28 | 37 | 54 |
2 | CF Montreal | 27 | 10 | 49 |
3 | New York Red Bulls | 28 | 8 | 44 |
Current League Standings | P | GD | PTS | |
2 | CF Montreal | 27 | 10 | 49 |
3 | New York Red Bulls | 28 | 8 | 44 |
4 | Columbus Crew | 26 | 5 | 36 |
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a CF Montreal win with a probability of 50.02%. A win for New York Red Bulls had a probability of 24.99% and a draw had a probability of 25%.
The most likely scoreline for a CF Montreal win was 1-0 with a probability of 11.3%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.49%) and 2-0 (9.02%). The likeliest New York Red Bulls win was 0-1 (7.44%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.88%). The actual scoreline of 0-1 was predicted with a 7.4% likelihood.
Result | ||
CF Montreal | Draw | New York Red Bulls |
50.02% ( 0.07) | 24.99% ( -0.02) | 24.99% ( -0.05) |
Both teams to score 51.87% ( 0.01) |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
49.34% ( 0.03) | 50.65% ( -0.03) |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
27.44% ( 0.03) | 72.56% ( -0.03) |
CF Montreal Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
79.73% ( 0.04) | 20.26% ( -0.04) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
47.39% ( 0.07) | 52.61% ( -0.07) |
New York Red Bulls Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
65.05% ( -0.02) | 34.95% ( 0.02) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
28.31% ( -0.02) | 71.69% ( 0.03) |
Score Analysis |
CF Montreal | Draw | New York Red Bulls |
1-0 @ 11.3% 2-1 @ 9.49% ( 0.01) 2-0 @ 9.02% ( 0.01) 3-1 @ 5.05% ( 0.01) 3-0 @ 4.8% ( 0.01) 3-2 @ 2.65% ( 0) 4-1 @ 2.02% ( 0.01) 4-0 @ 1.92% ( 0.01) 4-2 @ 1.06% ( 0) Other @ 2.71% Total : 50.01% | 1-1 @ 11.88% ( -0.01) 0-0 @ 7.08% ( -0.01) 2-2 @ 4.99% ( -0) 3-3 @ 0.93% ( 0) Other @ 0.11% Total : 24.98% | 0-1 @ 7.44% ( -0.02) 1-2 @ 6.25% ( -0.01) 0-2 @ 3.91% ( -0.01) 1-3 @ 2.19% ( -0) 2-3 @ 1.75% ( -0) 0-3 @ 1.37% ( -0) Other @ 2.08% Total : 24.99% |
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