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Major League Soccer | Gameweek 45
Nov 3, 2021 at 11.30pm UK
Saputo Stadium
HD

Montreal
2 - 0
Houston

Camacho (58'), Miller (63')
Breza (90+1')
FT(HT: 0-0)

Hoffmann (44'), Lassiter (53'), Carrasquilla (85')

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a CF Montreal win with a probability of 52.79%. A draw had a probability of 23.7% and a win for Houston Dynamo had a probability of 23.56%.

The most likely scoreline for a CF Montreal win was 1-0 with a probability of 10.33%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.75%) and 2-0 (9%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (11.19%), while for a Houston Dynamo win it was 0-1 (6.43%). The actual scoreline of 2-0 was predicted with an 9% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that CF Montreal would win this match.

Result
CF MontrealDrawHouston Dynamo
52.79%23.65%23.56%
Both teams to score 54.55%
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
53.63%46.37%
Over 3.5Under 3.5
31.35%68.65%
CF Montreal Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
82.47%17.53%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
51.95%48.05%
Houston Dynamo Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
66.14%33.86%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
29.47%70.53%
Score Analysis
    CF Montreal 52.79%
    Houston Dynamo 23.56%
    Draw 23.65%
CF MontrealDrawHouston Dynamo
1-0 @ 10.33%
2-1 @ 9.75%
2-0 @ 9%
3-1 @ 5.66%
3-0 @ 5.22%
3-2 @ 3.06%
4-1 @ 2.46%
4-0 @ 2.27%
4-2 @ 1.33%
Other @ 3.7%
Total : 52.79%
1-1 @ 11.19%
0-0 @ 5.94%
2-2 @ 5.28%
3-3 @ 1.11%
Other @ 0.14%
Total : 23.65%
0-1 @ 6.43%
1-2 @ 6.06%
0-2 @ 3.48%
1-3 @ 2.19%
2-3 @ 1.91%
0-3 @ 1.26%
Other @ 2.24%
Total : 23.56%

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