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Major League Soccer | Gameweek 41
Oct 24, 2021 at 12.30am UK
BMO Field
MI

Toronto
1 - 1
Montreal

Altidore (90+5')
Mullins (6'), Okello (53'), Osorio (58'), Shaffelburg (64')
FT(HT: 0-0)
Sunusi (55')
Piette (58')

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Toronto win with a probability of 45.86%. A win for CF Montreal had a probability of 29.53% and a draw had a probability of 24.6%.

The most likely scoreline for a Toronto win was 1-0 with a probability of 9.36%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.28%) and 2-0 (7.5%). The likeliest CF Montreal win was 0-1 (7.23%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.58%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with an 11.6% likelihood.

Result
TorontoDrawCF Montreal
45.86%24.61%29.53%
Both teams to score 56.71%
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
54.02%45.98%
Over 3.5Under 3.5
31.71%68.28%
Toronto Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
79.86%20.14%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
47.59%52.41%
CF Montreal Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
71.01%28.99%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
35.11%64.89%
Score Analysis
    Toronto 45.86%
    CF Montreal 29.53%
    Draw 24.6%
TorontoDrawCF Montreal
1-0 @ 9.36%
2-1 @ 9.28%
2-0 @ 7.5%
3-1 @ 4.96%
3-0 @ 4.01%
3-2 @ 3.07%
4-1 @ 1.99%
4-0 @ 1.61%
4-2 @ 1.23%
Other @ 2.87%
Total : 45.86%
1-1 @ 11.58%
0-0 @ 5.84%
2-2 @ 5.75%
3-3 @ 1.27%
Other @ 0.17%
Total : 24.6%
0-1 @ 7.23%
1-2 @ 7.17%
0-2 @ 4.48%
1-3 @ 2.96%
2-3 @ 2.37%
0-3 @ 1.85%
1-4 @ 0.92%
Other @ 2.56%
Total : 29.53%

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