Major League Soccer

Aug 7, 2022 at 12.30am UK

Florida Citrus Bowl

Orlando City
0 - 3
New England

Carlos (6'), Jansson (66'), Araujo (85')

FT(HT: 0-1)

Polster (20'), Kaptoum (51'), Kessler (75')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Saturday's Major League Soccer clash between Orlando City and New England Revolution, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

We said: Orlando City 2-1 New England Revolution

Orlando City and New England Revolution head into the weekend in need of a pick-me-up after struggling for results in recent weeks. The Revs have managed just two wins in their last 11 away games in the league and we are backing Orlando City to make use of their home advantage and claim a slender victory. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Orlando City win with a probability of 42.11%. A win for New England Revolution had a probability of 33.51% and a draw had a probability of 24.4%.

The most likely scoreline for a Orlando City win was 2-1 with a probability of 8.91%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (8.19%) and 2-0 (6.45%). The likeliest New England Revolution win was 1-2 (7.81%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.31%). The actual scoreline of 0-3 was predicted with a 2.3% likelihood.

Result
Orlando City	Draw	New England Revolution
42.11% ( -0.01)	24.38% ( -0)	33.51% ( 0.02)

Both teams to score 59.38% (

0.01)

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

56.7% (

0.01)

43.3% (

-0.01)

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

34.3% (

0.01)

65.7% (

-0.01)

Orlando City Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

79.31% (

-0)

20.69% (

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

46.71% (

-0.01)

53.29% (

0.01)

New England Revolution Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

74.87% (

0.02)

25.13% (

-0.01)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

40.16% (

0.02)

59.84% (

-0.02)

Score Analysis

Orlando City 42.11%

New England Revolution 33.51%

Draw 24.37%

Orlando City	Draw	New England Revolution
2-1 @ 8.91% ( -0) 1-0 @ 8.19% ( -0) 2-0 @ 6.45% ( -0) 3-1 @ 4.68% ( -0) 3-0 @ 3.39% ( -0) 3-2 @ 3.23% ( 0) 4-1 @ 1.84% ( -0) 4-0 @ 1.34% ( -0) 4-2 @ 1.27% Other @ 2.8% Total : 42.11%	1-1 @ 11.31% 2-2 @ 6.15% ( 0) 0-0 @ 5.2% ( -0) 3-3 @ 1.49% ( 0) Other @ 0.22% Total : 24.37%	1-2 @ 7.81% ( 0) 0-1 @ 7.18% 0-2 @ 4.96% ( 0) 1-3 @ 3.6% ( 0) 2-3 @ 2.83% ( 0) 0-3 @ 2.28% ( 0) 1-4 @ 1.24% ( 0) 2-4 @ 0.98% ( 0) Other @ 2.63% Total : 33.51%