Major League Soccer

Aug 18, 2022 at 12.30am UK

BMO Field

Toronto
2 - 2
New England

Bernardeschi (31' pen.), Criscito (75')
Akinola (35'), Laryea (78')

FT(HT: 1-1)

McNamara (37'), Rennicks (48')
Makoun (29')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Wednesday's Major League Soccer clash between Toronto and New England Revolution, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

We said: Toronto 1-0 New England Revolution

If ever there was a team well-equipped to quell a rampant Toronto attack, it would be the Revs, but Arena's injury woes in the final third could cost his side dear this week. Toronto cannot expect to breach their visitors at will, but the only way is up for Bradley's side at the moment, and they should have what it takes to edge past their dogged opponents with a clean sheet in tow. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Toronto win with a probability of 42.8%. A win for New England Revolution had a probability of 33.66% and a draw had a probability of 23.5%.

The most likely scoreline for a Toronto win was 2-1 with a probability of 8.9%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (7.26%) and 2-0 (6.08%). The likeliest New England Revolution win was 1-2 (7.77%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (10.62%). The actual scoreline of 2-2 was predicted with a 6.5% likelihood.

Result
Toronto	Draw	New England Revolution
42.8% ( 0.3)	23.54% ( -0.41)	33.66% ( 0.11)

Both teams to score 62.48% (

1.56)

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

60.74% (

2.03)

39.26% (

-2.03)

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

38.4% (

2.09)

61.59% (

-2.09)

Toronto Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

81.29% (

0.97)

18.71% (

-0.97)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

49.93% (

1.6)

50.07% (

-1.6)

New England Revolution Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

76.86% (

1.02)

23.14% (

-1.02)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

42.99% (

1.47)

57.01% (

-1.47)

Score Analysis

Toronto 42.8%

New England Revolution 33.66%

Draw 23.54%

Toronto	Draw	New England Revolution
2-1 @ 8.9% ( -0.02) 1-0 @ 7.26% ( -0.47) 2-0 @ 6.08% ( -0.2) 3-1 @ 4.97% ( 0.14) 3-2 @ 3.64% ( 0.21) 3-0 @ 3.4% ( -0.01) 4-1 @ 2.08% ( 0.12) 4-2 @ 1.53% ( 0.13) 4-0 @ 1.42% ( 0.04) Other @ 3.52% Total : 42.8%	1-1 @ 10.62% ( -0.35) 2-2 @ 6.51% ( 0.18) 0-0 @ 4.33% ( -0.42) 3-3 @ 1.78% ( 0.15) Other @ 0.3% Total : 23.54%	1-2 @ 7.77% ( -0.02) 0-1 @ 6.34% ( -0.42) 0-2 @ 4.64% ( -0.16) 1-3 @ 3.79% ( 0.1) 2-3 @ 3.18% ( 0.18) 0-3 @ 2.26% ( -0.01) 1-4 @ 1.39% ( 0.08) 2-4 @ 1.16% ( 0.1) Other @ 3.13% Total : 33.66%