SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Orlando City win with a probability of 59.67%. A draw had a probability of 21.6% and a win for CF Montreal had a probability of 18.71%.
The most likely scoreline for a Orlando City win was 1-0 with a probability of 10.27%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (10.02%) and 2-1 (9.95%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (10.2%), while for a CF Montreal win it was 0-1 (5.23%). The actual scoreline of 3-0 was predicted with a 6.5% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Orlando City would win this match.
| Result | ||
| Orlando City | Draw | CF Montreal |
59.67% ( 0.56) | 21.62% ( -0.26) | 18.71% ( -0.29) |
| Both teams to score 54% ( 0.35) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 56.4% ( 0.73) | 43.6% ( -0.72) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 34.01% ( 0.71) | 65.99% ( -0.7) |
| Orlando City Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 85.78% ( 0.42) | 14.22% ( -0.41) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 58.04% ( 0.8) | 41.96% ( -0.8) |
| CF Montreal Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 62.96% ( 0.11) | 37.04% ( -0.1) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 26.17% ( 0.1) | 73.83% ( -0.1) |
| Score Analysis |
| Orlando City | Draw | CF Montreal |
| 1-0 @ 10.27% ( -0.17) 2-0 @ 10.02% ( -0.01)2-1 @ 9.95% ( 0.01)3-0 @ 6.51% ( 0.08)3-1 @ 6.47% ( 0.1)3-2 @ 3.21% ( 0.06)4-0 @ 3.18% ( 0.09)4-1 @ 3.16% ( 0.1)4-2 @ 1.57% ( 0.05)5-0 @ 1.24% ( 0.05)5-1 @ 1.23% ( 0.06)Other @ 2.86% Total : 59.67% | 1-1 @ 10.2% ( -0.14) 0-0 @ 5.27% ( -0.17)2-2 @ 4.94% ( 0.02)3-3 @ 1.06% ( 0.02)Other @ 0.14% Total : 21.61% | 0-1 @ 5.23% ( -0.15) 1-2 @ 5.07% ( -0.06)0-2 @ 2.6% ( -0.07)1-3 @ 1.68% ( -0.01)2-3 @ 1.64% ( 0.01)Other @ 2.5% Total : 18.71% |
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